Detroit Pistons vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Prediction

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The Chicago Bulls (0-1) begin their home schedule at United Center as 3.5-point underdogs against the Detroit Pistons (1-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 20, 2018.

Detroit Pistons at Chicago Bulls ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Pistons (6-point favorites) defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 103-100, while the Bulls (12-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 127-108. The Detroit game went 10 points under the projected point total of 213, while the Chicago game finished 14 points over the projected point total of 221.

Detroit dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.2 and a turnover percentage of 12.1. Brooklyn was 13.5 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats. Chicago, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 10.9). Chicago was led by Bobby Portis, who contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Andre Drummond played a pivotal role for Detroit with 24 points and 20 rebounds.

Getting to the line might be rare for Chicago in this meeting. Dating back to last season, the Bulls rank 29th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.163, while Detroit ranks second in FTA rate allowed (0.172).

The Pistons are 40-43 straight up (SU) and 38-45 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Games featuring Detroit have gone under the O/U total 56.6 percent of the time since last season.

The Bulls, on the other hand, have records of 27-56 SU and 44-45 ATS since last season. Over that same period, Chicago’s games have gone under the O/U total 57.3 percent of the time.

The Pistons captured this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last game, Detroit won 119-87. Detroit had a much better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 16.1). Chicago, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.140 vs. 0.112).

Detroit Pistons at Chicago Bulls Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Pistons rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (4.9) while the Bulls rank 25th (5.2).
  • Chicago ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (31.1) while Detroit ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8).
  • The Pistons rank 13th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Bulls rank 26th (11.1).
  • Detroit ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Chicago ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
  • Detroit ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (43.7) while Chicago ranks 26th (41.8).
  • The Bulls rank 10th in assists per game (23.5) while the Pistons rank 28th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
  • The Pistons rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while the Bulls rank 10th (11.4).
  • Detroit ranks 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while Chicago ranks 27th (14.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Detroit is 22-6 and Chicago is 8-6.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Bulls are 24-27 and the Pistons are 36-19.