Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 11/23/19

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The league’s top scoring team will be at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (12-3) take on the Detroit Pistons (5-10). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 23, 2019.

Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

In the Pistons’ last outing, they dismantled the Atlanta Hawks, 128-103, as 1-point underdogs. The Bucks, on the other hand, topped the Portland Trail Blazers,137-129, but failed to cover as 14-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Detroit game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Milwaukee game finished 38 points over the projected point total of 228.

Detroit played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.701 (above their season average of 0.532) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.3). For those same stats, Atlanta had marks of 0.489 and 25.0, respectively. Milwaukee, meanwhile, out-rebounded Portland. The Bucks had 18 offensive rebounds and 58 total rebounds, while the Trail Blazers had nine and 41, respectively. Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who notched his first triple-double of the season. He took over, accumulating 24 points, 19 rebounds and 15 assists. Andre Drummond was a key piece for Detroit with 23 points and 15 rebounds.

The Bucks dominated this series last year, securing victories in all eight games. In the most recent contest, Milwaukee won 127-104. Getting to the free throw line was one of Milwaukee’s biggest advantages. They had 41 free throw attempts, while Detroit had just 12. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Pistons’ 14 games with betting action, eight have finished over the total. Detroit holds records of 5-10 straight up (SU) and 4-8-2 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Detroit, games involving the Bucks also have typically gone over the total (60.0 percent). Moreover, Milwaukee is 12-3 SU and 7-8 ATS.

This game should be a matchup of conflicting styles. Milwaukee prefers a fast-paced style of play (second in possessions per game), while Detroit likes to grind-it-out (27th in possessions per game).

Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 13th in assists per game (24.5) while the Pistons rank 26th in assists allowed per game (26.4).
  • Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.3) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (38.5).
  • The Bucks rank second in fast break points per game (18.1) while the Pistons rank 25th (11.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Detroit ranks 26th (8.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Detroit ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.7).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (52.1) while the Pistons rank 27th (41.5).
  • The Bucks rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.6) while the Pistons rank 22nd (14.3).
  • Detroit ranks second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Milwaukee ranks sixth (4.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.8) while Detroit ranks 24th (51.3).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 2-0 and Detroit is 1-0.
  • The Pistons are 4-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Bucks are 12-3.
  • Detroit is 1-5-2 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Bucks’ 5 home games, while 5 of the Pistons’ 8 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Detroit and Milwaukee have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Bucks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 0-3-2.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 9.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (0.2 above their season average).