Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 04/14/19

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The Milwaukee Bucks will be 12.5-point favorites at home to open the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs when they go head-to-head with the Detroit Pistons. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points and it will air on TNT at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14, 2019.

Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The Bucks have won all four contests against the Pistons this year. The two teams combined for 220 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 216.5. Milwaukee won 115-105, covering as a 7-point favorite. Milwaukee’s 0.615 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.539. Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded a double-double with 21 points and 11 assists.

Pistons games have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (52.4 percent). Detroit heads into the game with records of 41-41 straight up (SU) and 42-39-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Bucks games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Milwaukee owns records of 60-22 SU and 47-32-3 ATS.

This game should be a showdown of opposite tempos. Milwaukee has preferred a fast-paced style of play (fifth in possessions per game), while Detroit has been more methodical (28th in possessions per game). Also, the Pistons rank 22nd in offensive efficiency (107.1), while the Bucks rank first in defensive efficiency (103.4).

Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Pistons rank 13th (16.0).
  • Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Milwaukee ranks 28th (36.3).
  • The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (53.3) while the Pistons rank 22nd (44.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks seventh in assists per game (26.0) while Detroit ranks 26th (22.5).
  • Detroit ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (11.7).
  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (5.9) while the Pistons rank 26th (4.0).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.7) while the Pistons rank 17th (45.0).
  • Milwaukee is third in the league with 6.8 steals allowed per game while Detroit is fifth with 6.9 steals allowed per game.
  • Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.7) while Detroit ranks 29th (10.0).
  • Milwaukee is 20-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Detroit is 16-3.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 59-18 and the Pistons are 37-25.
  • Detroit is 21-20 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 23-17-1 ATS at home.
  • The Pistons have 23 unders, 17 overs and 1 push in 41 road games.
  • The Bucks have 21 overs and 20 unders in 41 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 overs and 1 under, while Detroit has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 123.6 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.0 points per game (12.7 above their season average).
  • The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, up from 0.2 for the season.