Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers Free Prediction 11/08/19

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The league’s top scoring defense will be at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse, when the Indiana Pacers (4-4) face off with the Detroit Pistons (4-5). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Odds

Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Pacers (3-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards 121-106, while the Pistons (3.5-point favorites) beat the New York Knicks 122-102. The Indiana game finished 0.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5, while the Detroit game finished 18.5 points over the projected point total of 205.5.

Detroit dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.2 (above their season average of 22.2) and a free throw rate of 0.241 (above their season average of 0.228). For those same stats, New York put up marks of 12.5 and 0.163, respectively. The Pacers, on the other hand, forced 16 turnovers and held the Wizards to an effective field goal percentage of 0.458 (below their season average of 0.530). Domantas Sabonis played well for Indiana with 13 points, 17 rebounds and seven assists. Detroit rallied around Andre Drummond, who had 27 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists.

In their two contests this season, the Pistons have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 190 points, well under the projected point total of 213. Detroit won 96-94, covering as a 1.5-point underdog. Detroit had a better effective field goal percentage (0.537 vs. 0.447). Indiana, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (6.6 vs. 19.0). Sabonis recorded a double-double in the defeat, with 21 points and 14 rebounds.

Oddsmakers are known to set the total low when the Pistons are playing, as 55.6 percent of their games have finished over the total. Detroit heads into the contest with records of 4-5 straight up (SU) and 4-5 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Detroit, Pacers games tend to go under the projected point total (62.5 percent). Further, Indiana is 4-4 SU and 3-4-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Indiana ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.3) and Detroit is 25th (100.3) since the 2018-19 season. Furthermore, the Pistons rank 21st in offensive efficiency (106.5), while the Pacers rank fourth in defensive efficiency (104.6).

Pistons vs. Pacers Free Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Pacers rank 19th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Pistons rank 28th (4.1).
  • Detroit ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.0) while Indiana ranks 29th (25.6).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.6) while the Pistons rank 22nd (50.3).
  • Indiana ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.5) while Detroit ranks last (10.0).
  • Detroit ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while Indiana ranks 13th (13.2).
  • The Pacers rank third in steals per game (8.6) while the Pistons rank 23rd (6.9).
  • The Pacers rank seventh in assists per game (25.7) while the Pistons rank 25th (22.7).
  • Detroit ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.7) while Indiana ranks seventh (44.0).
  • Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Detroit ranks 21st (15.8).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Indiana is 27-6 and Detroit is 17-3.
  • The Pistons are 40-31 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 47-20.