The Boston Celtics (27-11) will be 9.5-point favorites at home in TD Garden when they square off with the Detroit Pistons (14-27). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points and it is scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020.
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics ATS Odds
The last time the Celtics played, they were victorious over the Chicago Bulls, 113-101, covering as 9.5-point favorites. The Pistons, on the other hand, were topped by the New Orleans Pelicans, 117-110, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Boston game hit the projected point total of 214, while the Detroit game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5.
Boston played a perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4 (above their season average of 24.0) and a free throw rate of 0.313 (above their season average of 0.196). For those same stats, Chicago put up marks of 17.5 and 0.259, respectively. Detroit, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 7.6 (better than their season average of 13.8). Boston was led by Jayson Tatum, who finished with 21 points and six rebounds. Derrick Rose had a good game for Detroit, putting up 23 points and eight assists.
In their first matchup this year, Jaylen Brown led the Celtics to a 114-93 victory. He produced 26 points, five rebounds and five assists. The two teams combined to score 207 points, which was just under the projected point total of 210.5, and Boston covered as a 9-point favorite. The Celtics’ 34.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Pistons, who had a rate of 22.4.
Of the Pistons’ 41 games, 24 have gone over the O/U total. Detroit holds records of 14-27 straight up (SU) and 14-25-2 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Detroit, games including the Celtics tend to finish under the O/U total (55.3 percent). Moreover, Boston owns records of 27-11 SU and 22-15-1 ATS.
Boston figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Celtics currently rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Pistons rank 23rd in defensive efficiency. Also, the Pistons rank 28th in turnover percentage (14.9 percent), while the Celtics rank fourth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.8 percent).
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pistons rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Celtics rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9).
- Boston ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Detroit ranks 26th (8.2).
- The Celtics rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Pistons rank 23rd (18.4).
- Boston ranks 10th in rebounds per game (45.9) while Detroit ranks 28th (42.4).
- Boston averages 15.0 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Detroit ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (13.2).
- The Celtics rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while the Pistons rank 25th (51.4).
- The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (30.1) while the Celtics rank 18th (33.7).
- Boston ranks 19th in assists per game (23.3) while Detroit ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (25.0).
- Boston ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.8) while Detroit ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
- Detroit is 4-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Boston is 9-2.
- When reaching the century mark, the Pistons are 13-19 and the Celtics are 26-5.
- Boston is 11-8 ATS at home, while Detroit is 6-12-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Pistons’ 20 road games, while 9 of the Celtics’ 19 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Celtics are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Boston has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Detroit has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 7.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
