In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Detroit Lions (+7) are set to pay a visit to their NFC North foe Green Bay Packers (-7) at Lambeau Field. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
In this Sunday NFC matchup, Green Bay has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. The Lions are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Packers are -280. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 44 points. Some decent live betting possibilities might be unveiled during this game.
Early action has leaned toward the Lions. The opening line was initially placed at -8 and the over/under was originally 44.5.
The Lions have lost 5.5 units so far and are 8-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 6-9.
The Packers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 10.1 units. They’re 6-8-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 8-7.
The Lions are 5-10 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against NFC North opponents. The Packers are 6-8-1 SU overall and 1-3 SU against divisional foes.
The Lions are hoping to get back in stride after a 27-9 defeat to Minnesota last week where the Lions completed 23-of-43 passes for 161 yards. Matthew Stafford went 18-for-32 for 116 yards while Matt Cassel completed five-of-11 for 45 yards. LeGarrette Blount (only 29 yards on 11 rush attempts) propelled the ground attack while Kenny Golladay (six receptions, 58 yards) and TJ Jones (six catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Green Bay just earned a 44-38 win over the Jets last week. Aaron Rodgers completed 37-of-55 passes for 442 yards and two touchdowns. Jamaal Williams (95 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) led the running game while Davante Adams (11 receptions, 71 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Detroit has run the ball on 40.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 34.8 percent. The Lions have produced 102.0 rush yards/game (including 86.6 per game versus North opponents) and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Packers are totaling 108.1 rush yards per game (87.0 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.
The Lions offensive scheme has tallied 238.0 yards per contest through the air overall (210.6 per game versus conference opposition) and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Packers have produced 298.1 pass yards per contest (307 in the NFC) and have 25 total pass scores.
Defensively, Detroit has let opponents run for an average of 114.3 yards and pass for 249.3 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has allowed 253.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Packers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.90 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.62 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Stafford has put up 3,303 yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 325-of-494 attempts with 18 passing scores and 11 interceptions. Stafford has a 5.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.29 over the last two games.
We’re looking for Lions to control the pace by putting the ball in the hands of their running backs. In addition to receiver Kenny Golladay (917 receiving yards and five touchdowns), Zach Zenner (127 rush yards, one rush TD) and Theo Riddick (100 rush yards) have really been focal points in the Detroit offensive scheme.
For the home team, Aaron Rodgers has completed 344-of-550 passes for 4,142 yards, 25 TDs and one INT. Rodgers’ ANY/A sits at 7.24 for the year and 6.07 over his past two outings.
The Packers will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Jamaal Williams (152 receiving yards), Davante Adams (1,267 receiving yards and 13 receiving TDs) and Equanimeous St. Brown (five rush yards, 321 receiving yards) have seen a multitude of touches lately.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Lions, ATS Winner: Lions, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Green Bay defense has created 43 sacks on the year while Detroit has 40.
- Green Bay has lost 11 fumbles this season while the Detroit offense has lost seven.
- The Lions offense has created five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Packers have accounted for 16 such plays.
- The Detroit defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Green Bay has given up six such plays.
- Both defenses have produced 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Detroit offense has recorded 39 running plays of 10+ yards while Green Bay has accounted for 48 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Lions have given up 35 running plays of 10+ yards while the Packers have given up 40 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Green Bay’s last game was set at 47. The over cashed in that 44-38 victory over the Jets.
- In its last three matchups, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three contests, Detroit is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Detroit has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 14-point win over Arizona on December 9th representing the only victory over that stretch.
- The Over/Under for Detroit’s previous game was set at 41.5. The under cashed in the team’s 27-9 defeat to Minnesota.
- Detroit has rushed for 3.9 yards per attempt across its past three outings and 3.9 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.5 over its last two.