Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills: Free Week 15 Betting Pick

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The Bills (-2) are prepared to welcome the Detroit Lions to New Era Field. FOX will broadcast the action and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions

In this Sunday game, Buffalo is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 2 points. The Lions are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Bills are -130. Multiple decent in-game betting opportunities could present themselves during this contest, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 38 points.

The game’s opening line was 0. The O/U has yet to change after being set initially at 38.

The Lions are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.5 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 6-7.

The Bills have lost 4.0 units this season. The team is 5-8 ATS and also has an O/U record of 6-7.

The Lions are 5-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bills are 4-9 SU.

The Lions are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 17-3 win over Arizona last week. Matthew Stafford completed 15-of-23 passes for just 101 yards. Zach Zenner (54 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and LeGarrette Blount (33 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack while Bruce Ellington (four receptions, 17 yards) and Theo Riddick (four catches, 30 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 14, the Jets got the win against this Buffalo team by a score of 27-23. Josh Allen completed 18-of-36 passes for 206 yards and two interceptions. Chris Ivory (42 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and the signal-caller Allen (101 yards on nine carries, one TD) spearheaded the running attack as Robert Foster (seven receptions, 104 yards) and Isaiah McKenzie (four catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Detroit has run the ball on 40.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has an overall rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Lions have rushed for 103.0 yards per game and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bills are putting up 125.3 rush yards per game and have 11 total rushing TDs.

The Lions offensive scheme has logged 246.2 yards/contest in the air overall and has 18 passing TDs so far. The Bills have produced 187.5 pass yards per game and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, Detroit has allowed 115.2 rush yards and 252.5 pass yards per game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 200.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.16 to opposing QBs, while the Lions have given up a 7.44 ANY/A.

Stafford likely has the advantage over Allen in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 5.69for the year and 4.57 over the past two outings. Allen’s ANY/A is 3.50 for the season and 3.64 over his last two outings.

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Lions, ATS Winner: Lions, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Detroit defense has sacked opposing QBs 37 times this year. Buffalo has recorded just 31 sacks.
  • The Buffalo offense has lost eight fumbles this season while the Detroit offense has let seven get away.
  • The Lions offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bills have put up six such plays.
  • The Detroit defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
  • The Detroit offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Buffalo has created 13 such runs.
  • The Lions defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bills have given up 10 such runs.
  • Detroit, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.
  • Buffalo has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.0 over its last two.