Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears – Free Week 10 Betting Pick

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The Detroit Lions (+3) are set to take on their NFC North nemesis Chicago Bears (-3) at Soldier Field. This early afternoon game is scheduled to start at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action live on CBS.

Betting Preview: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

In this Sunday NFC game, Chicago has been labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Lions are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Bears are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 42.5 points. It appears that there should be multiple decent live betting opportunities in this contest.

The game’s over/under was initially set at 44, but the sharp action has been siding with the under.

The Lions are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.5 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 6-2.

The Bears have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 5.5 units. The team is 2-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-5.

The Lions have gone 3-4-1 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against NFC North opponents. The Bears are 3-5 SU overall and 1-1 SU against divisional foes.

The Lions look to get back in stride after a 31-24 loss to Oakland in Week 9. The Lions defense allowed the Raiders to run for 171 yards on 36 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Offensively, Matthew Stafford completed 26-of-41 passes for 406 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Ty Johnson (just 29 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the ground attack while Marvin Jones Jr. (eight receptions, 126 yards, one TD) and Kenny Golladay (four catches, 132 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 9, Philadelphia got the victory against this Chicago crew by a score of 22-14. Mitchell Trubisky completed 10-of-21 passes for 125 yards. David Montgomery (40 yards on 14 rush attempts, two TDs) mounted the running attack while Taylor Gabriel (three receptions, 69 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Detroit has run the ball on 41.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Chicago has a rush percentage of 39.6 percent. The Lions have rushed for 96 yards/game (including 68.5 per game against North opponents) and have two scores on the ground this year. The Bears are logging 80.5 rushing yards per game (59 in conference) and have five total rush TDs.

The Lions offensive scheme has logged 312.4 yards per contest through the air overall (314.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Bears have produced 205.4 pass yards per outing (216 in the NFC) and have eight total pass scores.

Detroit has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 135.8 yards and pass for 300.9 yards per game. The Chicago defense has allowed 251.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 93.5 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.55 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.62 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Stafford is up to 2,157 yards this year, and has completed 162-of-259 attempts with 16 passing scores and only four interceptions. Stafford’s got a sparkling 8.01 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.23 over the last two games.

Mitchell Trubisky has connected on 113-of-181 passes for 964 yards, five TDs and two INTs for Chicago. His ANY/A sits at a less-than-ideal 4.60 for the season and 4.49 over his past two outings.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Betting Pick

SU Winner: Lions, ATS Winner: Lions, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Lions offense has registered eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bears have accounted for one such play.
  • The Detroit defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Chicago has given up three such plays.
  • The Detroit offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Chicago has created three such runs.
  • The Lions defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bears have given up two such runs.
  • The Chicago defensive unit has registered 23 sacks on the year while Detroit has just 14.
  • As a team, Detroit has averaged 3.5 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 3.3 over its last two.
  • Chicago has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its past two.
  • Over its last three games, Chicago is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Detroit’s last game was set at 51.5. The over cashed in the team’s 31-24 loss to Oakland.
  • In its last three contests, Detroit is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Chicago’s last matchup was set at 40.5. The under cashed in that 22-14 loss to Philadelphia.