Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 10/23/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Portland Trail Blazers, 1-point favorites, welcome the Denver Nuggets to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to get their seasons underway. Action begins at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 23, 2019, and can be seen on ESPN.

Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

This will be a rematch of last season’s Western Conference Semifinal which Portland won in seven games. The Trail Blazers would eventually fall to the Golden State Warriors in four games in the Conference Finals. Denver was the second seed (54-28) while Portland was the three seed (53-29).

The Nuggets had a respectable 54-28 straight up (SU) record last season, but were just 37-42-3 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of Denver’s games finished over the O/U total.

On the other side, the Trail Blazers owned records of 53-29 SU and 45-34-7 ATS last season. Unlike Denver, Portland games went under the O/U total 55.8 percent of the time.

The offensive glass should be a solid edge for Portland in this matchup. The Trail Blazers ranked second in offensive rebounding percentage (26.2 percent), while Denver ranked 12th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.5 percent) in the 2018-19 season. Additionally, the Nuggets ranked fifth in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Trail Blazers ranked 28th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.8 percent).

Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • Denver ranks first in second chance points per game (15.7) while Portland ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
  • The Nuggets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (13.9).
  • Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Denver ranks 10th (31.1).
  • Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Denver ranks seventh (46.6).
  • The Nuggets rank third in assists per game (26.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (22.5).
  • The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Trail Blazers rank ninth (15.3).
  • Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (52.0) while Portland ranks 17th (48.4).
  • Denver is 28-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Portland is 19-2.
  • The Trail Blazers are 58-28 when they reach 100 points, while the Nuggets are 56-24.