Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic ATS Prediction 11/02/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Denver Nuggets (3-2), 4.5-point favorites, head to Orlando to take on the Magic (2-3). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 2, 2019.

Denver Nuggets at Orlando Magic ATS Odds

In their last game, the Nuggets (4-point favorites) were defeated by the New Orleans Pelicans, 122-107, while the Magic (9.5-point favorites) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 123-91. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Denver game finished 6 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Orlando game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5.

Denver held New Orleans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 6.3 (below their season average of 23.5) while Orlando had a better free throw rate (0.121 vs. 0.129). Orlando was led by Nikola Vucevic, who put up 14 points and seven rebounds. Nikola Jokic had a good game for Denver, putting up 13 points, six rebounds and six assists.

The Nuggets dominated this series last year, winning both contests. In the last game, Denver won 124-118. Denver had a much better free throw rate (0.280 vs. 0.084). Orlando, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (13.3 vs. 10.5).

Vegas is known to set the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as four of their five games have finished under the total. Denver has a respectable 3-2 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 2-3 against the spread (ATS).

Magic games also have typically gone under the O/U total (100.0 percent). Further, Orlando is 2-3 SU and 1-3 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Orlando ranks 26th in possessions per game (100.1) and Denver is 27th (100.0) since last season. Also, the Nuggets rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.4 percent), while the Magic rank 21st in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.6 percent).

Denver Nuggets at Orlando Magic Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Magic rank ninth in blocks per game (5.3) while the Nuggets rank 13th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
  • Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.6) while Orlando ranks 29th (43.3).
  • The Nuggets rank third in assists per game (26.7) while the Magic rank 13th (25.0).
  • Denver ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.3) while Orlando ranks 26th (10.8).
  • Denver ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Orlando ranks seventh (14.9).
  • The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.5) while the Magic rank 22nd (12.2).
  • The Nuggets rank 18th in steals per game (7.4) while the Magic rank 26th (6.7).
  • Denver ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while Orlando ranks 13th (45.0).
  • Denver is 29-3 when they allow below 100 points, while Orlando is 21-4.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Nuggets are 59-26 and the Magic are 39-19.