The Golden State Warriors (9-33) and the Denver Nuggets (28-12) clash at Chase Center. The Warriors look to put an end to their nine-game losing streak. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 16, 2020, and will air on TNT.
Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
The last time the Nuggets played, they comfortably covered the 1-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets, 100-86. The Warriors, on the other hand, were thoroughly outplayed by the Dallas Mavericks, 124-97, and failed to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The Denver game finished 34 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Golden State game went 3 points under the projected point total of 224.
Denver dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.190 (above their season average of 0.181) and a turnover percentage of 10.9 (better than their season average of 11.3). Charlotte put up marks of 0.099 and 13.8, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.578). Jordan Poole had a good outing for Golden State, putting up 17 points and five assists. Michael Porter Jr., meanwhile played a key role for Denver with 19 points and eight rebounds.
The Warriors held the advantage in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last matchup, Golden State won 116-102. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.614 vs. 0.411). Denver, on the other hand, did a great job of making free throws (23-29; 79.3 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Nuggets’ 39 games that accepted bets, 23 have gone under the O/U total. Denver is 28-12 straight up (SU), but they have trouble covering the spread (15-19-5 against the spread (ATS)).
Similarly to Denver, Warriors games also tend to finish under the total (59.5 percent). Further, Golden State is 9-33 SU and 19-23 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Denver in this meeting. The Nuggets rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.3 percent), while Golden State ranks 23rd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.9 percent).
Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 27th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while the Warriors rank 28th (29.2).
- Denver ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (50.0) while Golden State ranks last (42.5).
- The Nuggets rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Warriors rank 24th (8.2).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Golden State ranks 22nd (17.9).
- Denver ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Golden State ranks 25th (47.0).
- The Nuggets average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (12.0) while the Warriors rank 23rd (13.9).
- Denver ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Golden State ranks 24th (14.6).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Denver is 11-1 and Golden State is 4-2.
- When reaching the century mark, the Nuggets are 26-8 and the Warriors are 9-20.
- Golden State is 9-11 ATS at home, while Denver is 8-8-2 ATS on the road.
- The Nuggets have 9 overs and 9 unders in 18 road games.
- Of the Warriors’ 20 home games, they have 13 unders and 7 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Denver has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Golden State has 5 unders.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
- The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 15.6, up from 8.6 for the season.
