Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards Free Prediction 03/21/19

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The Denver Nuggets (47-22), 6-point favorites, will travel to Capital One Arena to go head-to-head with the Washington Wizards (30-42). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21, 2019.

Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards Betting Odds

The last time the Nuggets played, they topped the Boston Celtics, 114-105, as 4.5-point underdogs. The Wizards, on the other hand, were defeated by the Chicago Bulls, 126-120, and were unable to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Denver game went 1.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Washington game finished 19 points over the projected point total of 227.

The Nuggets, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3, had a great mark of 30.6 and held the Celtics to an effective field goal percentage of 0.484 (below their season average of 0.536). Washington, on the other hand, did a terrific job of making free throws (18-23; 78.3 percent). Washington was led by Bradley Beal, who put up 27 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic played well for Denver, contributing 21 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.

This series was highly competitive last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last contest, the Nuggets won 108-100. Denver had a much better turnover percentage (9.7 vs. 16.5). Washington, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (20.5 vs. 15.6). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Nuggets’ 69 games, 39 have finished under the total. Denver heads into the contest with records of 47-22 straight up (SU) and 37-32 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Denver, games featuring the Wizards have a tendency to go over the total (60.6 percent). Further, Washington is 30-42 SU and 32-37-2 ATS.

It will be a showdown of conflicting tempos as the fast-breaking Wizards (ranked seventh in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Nuggets (23rd in possessions per game). Furthermore, the Nuggets rank fifth in offensive efficiency (111.4), while the Wizards rank 28th in defensive efficiency (111.6).

Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Nuggets average 16.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. The Wizards rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
  • Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while Washington ranks 29th (47.3).
  • The Nuggets average 15.5 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the league. The Wizards rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
  • Denver ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Washington ranks 16th (13.7).
  • Washington ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while Denver ranks 16th in three pointers allowed per game (32.3).
  • The Nuggets rank second in assists per game (27.8) while the Wizards rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
  • The Wizards rank sixth in steals per game (8.5) while the Nuggets rank 15th in steals allowed per game (7.6).
  • Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.0) while Washington ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
  • Washington is 9-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Denver is 21-1.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Wizards are 29-35 and the Nuggets are 45-17.
  • Washington is 21-13-1 ATS at home, while Denver is 14-19 ATS on the road.
  • The Nuggets have 21 unders and 12 overs in 33 road games.
  • The Wizards have 22 overs and 13 unders in 35 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Denver and Washington have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 2-3.
  • The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 2.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (0.4 below their season average).