The Utah Jazz (49-31) welcome the Denver Nuggets (53-27) to Vivint Smart Home Arena to kick off their Western Conference schedules. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 9, 2019, and will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.
Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last matchup. The Jazz (12-point favorites) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 113-109, while the Nuggets (8.5-point underdogs) fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 115-108. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Utah game went 5.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5, while the Denver game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.
Denver had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 13.6) while Utah did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (20-28; 71.4 percent). Rudy Gobert played a pivotal role for Utah with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Denver was led by Mason Plumlee, who had 10 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
The Jazz lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 215 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 225. Utah won 111-104, covering as an 8-point underdog. Utah had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.172). Denver, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.0 vs. 20.4). In the loss, Will Barton had a double-double with 21 points and 13 rebounds.
Nuggets games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (57.5 percent). Denver comes into the game with records of 53-27 straight up (SU) and 42-38 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Jazz games have also finished under the total. Moreover, Utah is 49-31 SU and 42-36-2 ATS.
Utah appears to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Jazz rank second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506), while Denver is 15th in effective field goal percentage (0.527). Moreover, the Nuggets are among the league’s best on the offensive backboards, ranking first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 percent). The Jazz, meanwhile, rank second at grabbing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 80.2 percent.
Nuggets at Jazz Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while the Jazz rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
- Utah ranks third in blocks per game (5.8) while Denver ranks 22nd (4.5).
- The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Jazz rank 15th (13.2).
- Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Denver ranks 13th (32.0).
- Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (52.4) while Utah ranks 13th (49.6).
- The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (21.4) while the Nuggets rank 16th (24.6).
- The Nuggets rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.7) while the Jazz rank 27th (10.4).
- Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while Utah ranks second (42.6).
- Denver averages 7.7 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Utah ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- Denver is 24-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Utah is 22-4.
- The Nuggets are 50-19 when they score more than 100 points, while the Jazz are 47-19.
- Utah is 20-19-1 ATS at home, while Denver is 17-23 ATS on the road.
- The Nuggets have 25 unders and 15 overs in 40 road games.
- The Jazz have 22 unders and 18 overs in 40 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Utah have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (4.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (2.5 below their season average).
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 5.3 for the season.
