Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction 11/17/19

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The Denver Nuggets (8-3) will travel to FedExForum to clash against the Memphis Grizzlies (5-7). The Grizzlies opened as 7-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 17, 2019.

Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

The Grizzlies will look to maintain momentum after barely hanging on to beat the Utah Jazz in their last matchup, 107-106, as 8-point underdogs. The Nuggets, meanwhile, defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 101-93, resulting in a push. The Memphis game finished 2 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Denver game went 28.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.

Denver played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.1 (above their season average of 23.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.475 (below their season average of 0.487). For those same stats, Brooklyn put up marks of 12.7 and 0.421, respectively. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, had a solid turnover percentage of 9.8 (better than their season average of 14.9) and held the Jazz to an effective field goal percentage of 0.454 (below their season average of 0.528). Memphis’ Ja Morant led the way, recording 25 points and eight assists. Meanwhile, Denver received a boost from Nikola Jokic, who contributed 18 points and 10 rebounds.

The Nuggets took this series last year, winning two out of three contests. In the last contest, Denver won 95-92. Denver had a better turnover percentage (14.3 vs. 18.0). Memphis, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.3 vs. 21.4). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Nuggets’ 11 games, nine have finished under the projected point total. Denver has an outstanding 8-3 straight up (SU) record, but they have trouble covering the spread (3-6-2 against the spread (ATS)).

Grizzlies games also have a tendency to go under the O/U total (58.3 percent). Additionally, Memphis is 5-7 SU and 5-7 ATS.

Memphis might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they face off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Denver currently ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 26th in offensive efficiency. The Nuggets should have an edge in terms of ball protection. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent). Conversely, the Grizzlies force the seventh-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.8 percent).

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Nuggets rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
  • Denver ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.4) while Memphis ranks 25th (21.3).
  • The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (55.0) while the Nuggets rank 17th (46.4).
  • Memphis averages 26.8 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. Denver ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
  • Memphis ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.8) while Denver ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • The Nuggets rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (15.8).
  • The Nuggets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Grizzlies rank 18th (8.1).
  • Memphis ranks sixth in fast break points per game (16.0) while Denver ranks 25th (11.1).
  • Denver is 6-0 when they allow less than 100 points.
  • The Nuggets are 7-3 when they score more than 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 5-5.
  • Denver is 2-2-1 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 3-4 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the Nuggets’ 5 road games, while 4 of the Grizzlies’ 7 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-3-1.
  • In their last five games, Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Denver has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.6 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
  • The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 2.8 for the season.