The Cornell Big Red (14-15, 6-7 Ivy) welcome the Dartmouth Big Green (11-18, 2-11 Ivy) to Newman Arena at Bartels Hall as the regular season wraps up. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.
Dartmouth Big Green at Cornell Big Red Betting Odds
The Big Red beat the Harvard Crimson in their last matchup, 72-59, covering as 6.5-point favorites. The Big Green, on the other hand, were defeated by the Columbia Lions, 70-66, and were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Cornell game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 140, while the Dartmouth game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 141.
Cornell played a nearly flawless contest. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.327 (above their season average of 0.235) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.491 (below their season average of 0.505). For those same stats, Harvard recorded marks of 0.147 and 0.360, respectively. Dartmouth, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.1 (above their season average of 24.5). Cornell rallied around Matt Morgan, who finished with 31 points. Meanwhile, Aaryn Rai had a solid performance for Dartmouth, finishing with 13 points and 14 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Morgan led the Big Red to an 83-80 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 41 points. The two teams combined for 163 points, which was well over the projected point total of 139.5, and Cornell covered as a 4-point underdog. Converting at the free throw line was one of Cornell’s biggest strengths. They were 15-16 (93.8 percent), while the Big Green were 10-13 (76.9 percent).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Big Green games, with 14 overs compared to 12 unders. Dartmouth holds records of 11-18 straight up (SU) and 12-12-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Big Red games, with an even split between overs and unders. Additionally, Cornell is 14-15 SU and 11-14-1 ATS.
Second-chance points could be hard to come by for Cornell in this battle. The Big Red currently rank 348th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.9 percent), while Dartmouth ranks 26th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.7 percent). Also, the Big Green, who rank 325th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.181), could struggle to get to the line against the Big Red, who rank 41st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190).
Dartmouth Big Green at Cornell Big Red Free Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Dartmouth, ATS Winner – Dartmouth, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Dartmouth ranks 99th in rebounds allowed per game (33.7) while Cornell ranks 252nd (37.6).
- The Big Green rank 95th in blocks per game (3.4) while the Big Red rank 142nd in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
- Dartmouth ranks 46th in three pointers allowed per game (19.8) while Cornell ranks 57th (20.2).
- Cornell is 3-5-1 ATS at home, while Dartmouth is 7-6-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Big Red’s 9 home games, while 7 of the Big Green’s 14 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dartmouth and Cornell have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Big Green are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Big Red are 0-5.
- During their last five games, the Big Green have scored an average of 63.4 points per game (9.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 71.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
- The Big Red’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.2, up from 2.3 for the season.
