Rogers Place will be hosting an intriguing showdown as the Edmonton Oilers welcome the visiting Dallas Stars. This Western Conference matchup gets underway at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 16 and it will be shown live on Fox Sports Southwest.
Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers Odds
Dallas (+110) is entering this one as the underdog to Edmonton (-130), and the oddsmakers have put the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total stand at -130 for the under and +110 for the over.
Earning moneyline bettors 5.8 units, the Oilers are 13-8 straight up (SU) overall this year. That winning percentage, the league’s fourth-best so far in this young season, is a welcomed turnaround from what the team did during last year’s regular season (35-47). Through 21 regular season outings, 11 of the team’s games have gone under the total, while 10 have gone over and none have pushed. This season, the team’s 7-3 SU at home.
Edmonton enters the matchup with the strongest power-play unit in the NHL, as the team has scored on 31.7 percent of their extra-man chances this year. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked fourth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 87.3 percent of all penalties.
Edmonton, as a collective unit, has been penalized 3.8 times per game overall this season, and 4.8 per game over its last five match ups. The team’s had to stave off opposition power plays for just 7.4 minutes per game over its last five home outings.
Sporting a .915 save percentage and 26.2 saves per game, Mike Smith (6-6-1) has been the top goalkeeper for the Oilers this year. If the Oilers choose to give him the day off, however, the team may roll with Mikko Koskinen (7-3-3 record, .928 save percentage, 2.16 goals against average).
The Oilers will continue to look for leadership out of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. Draisaitl (41 points) is up to 15 goals and 26 assists and has recorded two or more points 11 times this year. McDavid has 14 goals and 23 assists to his credit and has notched a point in 15 contests.
On the visitors’ side of the rink, Dallas is 10-10 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. A total of 15 of its outings have gone under the total, while five have gone over and none have pushed. Dallas’ 5-6 SU as an away team this season.
Dallas has converted on just 13.6 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that places it in the bottom-five overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked seventh overall and it’s successfully defended 84.9 percent of all penalties.
Dallas’ players have been penalized 3.8 times per game in total this season, and 4.6 per game over their past five match ups. The team’s been forced to defend opponent power plays just 8.1 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
Ben Bishop (26.5 saves per game) has been the primary option in the net for Dallas. Bishop has seven wins, six losses, and one OT loss to his credit, while registering a .930 save percentage and 2.12 goals against average this year.
For the visiting Stars, the offense will be facilitated through Tyler Seguin (four goals, nine assists) and Joe Pavelski (five goals, seven assists).
Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers Free Picks
NHL Prediction: SU Winner – Stars, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
- For both of these teams, the total has gone over in four of their past five matches.
- The Stars are 1-3 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 3-8 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes.
- Edmonton has averaged 11.0 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 8.8 takeaways per game (ranked 8th in the NHL).
- Dallas is ranked 21st in the NHL this season with 6.8 takeaways per game. That figure has trended higher recently, as it’s averaged 8.1 takeaways over its last 10 games and 10.2 takeaways over its last five.
- Edmonton may hold the upper hand if this one comes down to the wire. The team’s 6-2 in games decided by one goal, while Dallas is 4-6 in such games.
