Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 12/23/18

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The Dallas Mavericks (15-16) visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to clash against the Portland Trail Blazers (18-14). The Mavericks are 7-point underdogs and will try to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 23, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Trail Blazers (1-point favorites) were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 120-90, while the Mavericks (3-point underdogs) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 120-116. The Portland game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 213.5, while the Dallas game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 223.

Dallas had a better free throw rate (0.196 vs. 0.153) while Portland held Utah to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below the 22.4 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season). Portland was lifted by Jusuf Nurkic, who had 10 points and 10 rebounds. DeAndre Jordan had a good game for Dallas, recording 12 points, 23 rebounds and five assists.

In their first matchup this season, Jordan led the Mavericks to a 111-102 win. He recorded a double-double with 12 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 213 points, which was just under the projected point total of 217.5, and Dallas covered as a 3-point favorite. The Mavericks’ 11.2 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Trail Blazers, who had a rate of 16.1.

Just over half of the Mavericks’ games have finished over the total. Dallas holds records of 15-16 straight up (SU) and 17-13 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is extremely precise when setting the O/U total of Trail Blazers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Additionally, Portland is 18-14 SU and 16-16 ATS.

Luka Doncic and Jordan have been playing well over the last five games for Dallas. Doncic has averaged 24 points,7.6 assists,6.2 rebounds,1.6 steals per game, while Jordan has recorded 17 rebounds,11.0 points a game during that span.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks average 33.70967741935484 three pointers per game, which ranks 8 in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 10 in three pointers allowed per game (29.84375).
  • Dallas ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Portland ranks 22nd (5.8).
  • The Mavericks rank ninth in second chance points per game (14.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Portland ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (14.0) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.5).
  • Dallas ranks 20 in assists per game (22.967741935483872) while Portland ranks 27 (20.84375).
  • The Mavericks rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (14.0).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 4 in rebounds per game (47.875) while the Mavericks rank 13 (45.38709677419355).
  • Dallas ranks 14th in steals per game (8.0) while Portland ranks 27th (6.7).
  • Dallas is 4-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Portland is 6-1.
  • The Trail Blazers are 17-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 15-14.
  • Dallas is 5-9 ATS on the road, while Portland is 11-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Mavericks’ 14 road games, while 10 of the Trail Blazers’ 17 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trail Blazers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Portland has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 0.7 points.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.0 points per game (8.4 above their season average).