The Dallas Mavericks (21-11) will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder (17-15). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 31, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
In the Thunder’s previous game, they barely escaped the Toronto Raptors, 98-97, despite being 5-point underdogs. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 108-95, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 14 points under the projected point total of 209, while the Dallas game went 21 points under the projected point total of 224.
The Thunder made 20 of their 23 free throws (87.0 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (19.0 vs. 18.6). Dallas, on the other hand, held Los Angeles to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.8 (below their season average of 24.5). Chris Paul played well for Oklahoma City with 25 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, Dallas was led by Luka Doncic, who had 19 points and seven assists.
The Mavericks edged out the Thunder in this series last year, taking three out of four contests. In the last game, Dallas won 106-103. Dallas’ 0.517 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Oklahoma City, who had a mark of 0.444. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Vegas is known to set the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 20 of their 32 contests have ended over the O/U total. Dallas holds records of 21-11 straight up (SU) and 19-13 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Dallas, Thunder games have typically finished under the total (59.4 percent). Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 17-15 SU and 19-12-1 ATS.
Dallas appears to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency, while Oklahoma City ranks 14th in defensive efficiency.
Mavericks at Thunder Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks allow the fewest blocks per game (3.8) while the Thunder rank fifth (4.3).
- Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (14.8) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.3).
- The Mavericks rank third in rebounds per game (48.0) while the Thunder rank 25th (42.5).
- Dallas ranks 12th in assists per game (24.7) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (21.6).
- Oklahoma City ranks 19th in steals per game (7.6) while Dallas ranks 27th (6.7).
- The Thunder rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Mavericks rank 29th (16.4).
- The Thunder rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.5).
- Oklahoma City ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (46.1) while Dallas ranks 25th (44.4).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (29.5).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Dallas is 5-0 and Oklahoma City is 6-3.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Thunder are 16-8 and the Mavericks are 21-9.
- Oklahoma City is 9-7-1 ATS at home, while Dallas is 13-3 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 11 of the Mavericks’ 16 road games, while 9 of the Thunder’s 17 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.8 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 7.9 for the season.
