The Dallas Mavericks (26-29) will be at the Toyota Center to go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (32-23) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game can be seen on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds
The Mavericks edged the Portland Trail Blazers in their last contest, 102-101, despite being 6-point underdogs. The Rockets, meanwhile, were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 117-112, and failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 23 points under the projected point total of 226, while the Houston game went 9 points under the projected point total of 238.
The Mavericks made 18 of their 23 free throws (78.3 percent), while the Trail Blazers had a turnover percentage of 17.1 (above their season average of 12.0). Houston, on the other hand, forced Oklahoma City into a turnover percentage of 15.7 (above their season average of 11.7). Houston’s Chris Paul had a good outing, finishing with 18 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. Luka Doncic, meanwhile was a key piece for Dallas with 28 points, nine rebounds and six assists.
In their two contests this year, the Mavericks have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 211 points, which was under the projected point total of 219. Dallas won 107-104, covering as a 3.5-point underdog. The Mavericks’ 35.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Rockets, who had a rate of 25.0. Despite the loss, James Harden was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points.
Vegas tends to place the total high when the Mavericks are involved, as 55.6 percent of their games have ended under the projected point total. Dallas holds records of 26-29 straight up (SU) and 34-20 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Rockets’ 55 games, 30 have finished over the total. Further, Houston is 32-23 SU and 25-29-1 ATS.
The physical Dallas offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Mavericks rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.223, while Houston is among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 26th-ranked FTA rate of 0.219).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while the Mavericks rank 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
- Dallas ranks 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.1) while Houston ranks 29th (53.2).
- The Rockets rank 11th in blocks per game (5.4) while the Mavericks rank 25th (4.5).
- Houston ranks 12th in steals per game (8.3) while Dallas ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Dallas averages 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Houston ranks 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- The Rockets rank 12th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3) while the Mavericks rank 29th (17.2).
- The Rockets average 44.4 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the league. The Mavericks rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
- Dallas ranks 25th in assists per game (22.6) while Houston ranks 28th (20.6).
- Dallas ranks 11th in rebounds per game (45.9) while Houston ranks 27th (41.8).
- Houston is 9-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Dallas is 10-3.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Rockets are 30-15 and the Mavericks are 25-23.
- Dallas is 15-12 ATS on the road, while Houston is 15-12-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 15 of the Mavericks’ 27 road games, while 18 of the Rockets’ 28 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 4 unders and 1 over, while Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (7.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.4 points per game (7.1 below their season average).
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 2.1 for the season.
