Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction 01/14/20

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The Golden State Warriors (9-32) and the Dallas Mavericks (24-15) face off at Chase Center. The Warriors are 9-point underdogs and look to snap their eight-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

The last time the Mavericks played, they comfortably covered the 2.5-point spread against the Philadelphia 76ers, 109-91. The Warriors, meanwhile, were blown out by the Memphis Grizzlies, 122-102, and were not able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Golden State game went 1.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.

Dallas dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.228 (above their season average of 0.209) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.576 (above their season average of 0.544). For those same stats, Philadelphia was 0.082 and 0.423, respectively. Golden State, on the other hand, made 17 of their 34 three pointers (50.0 percent). D’Angelo Russell had a good outing for Golden State, recording 34 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Dallas was lifted by Luka Doncic, who put up 19 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds.

In their two contests this season, the Mavericks have won both. The two teams combined for 262 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 217.5. Dallas won 141-121, covering as a 10.5-point favorite. Converting at the free throw line was one of Dallas’ largest strengths. They were 21-21 (100.0 percent), while the Warriors were 13-17 (76.5 percent). Doncic put up a triple-double in the victory, with 31 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds.

Of the Mavericks’ 39 games, 24 have finished over the total. Dallas heads into the contest with records of 24-15 straight up (SU) and 22-17 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Dallas, Warriors games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (58.5 percent). Moreover, Golden State owns records of 9-32 SU and 19-22 ATS.

The high-powered offense of Dallas will clash against the porous defense of Golden State. The Mavericks currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are 22nd in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks should have the edge on that end of the court.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors average 13.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
  • Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (29.1).
  • The Mavericks average 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Warriors rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (46.8).
  • Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Golden State ranks 19th (5.4).
  • Dallas ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (25.3).
  • The Warriors rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.4).
  • The Warriors rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.3).
  • Dallas ranks 24th in points in the paint per game (45.0) while Golden State ranks last (42.4).
  • Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (14.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
  • Dallas is 6-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 4-2.
  • The Mavericks are 24-13 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 9-20.
  • Golden State is 9-10 ATS at home, while Dallas is 13-4 ATS on the road.
  • The Mavericks have 11 overs and 6 unders in 17 road games.
  • Of the Warriors’ 19 home games, they have 12 unders and 7 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Dallas and Golden State are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Mavericks have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Warriors have 4 unders and 1 over
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 6.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.9 below their season average).