The Dallas Mavericks (19-9) and their outstanding offense head to Toronto as 2.5-point underdogs to play the Raptors (20-8) and their stifling defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds
The Mavericks had no trouble getting past the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 117-98, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. The Raptors, meanwhile, defeated the Washington Wizards,122-118, but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 3 points over the projected point total of 212, while the Toronto game finished 9.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5.
The Mavericks knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.602 (above their season average of 0.546). Meanwhile, Toronto’s 0.436 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Washington, who had a mark of 0.276. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.206. Serge Ibaka put together a solid outing for Toronto with 23 points and 10 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis, meanwhile led the way for Dallas, finishing with 22 points and 18 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Luka Doncic led the Mavericks to a 110-102 victory. He recorded a double-double with 26 points and 15 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 212 points, which was under the projected point total of 218, and Dallas covered as a 5-point favorite. Dallas made good use of their 33 trips to the free throw line, making 27 of them (81.8 percent). Toronto, meanwhile, was 11-15 (73.3 percent).
Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 64.3 percent of their games have ended over the total. Dallas comes into the contest with records of 19-9 straight up (SU) and 17-11 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Raptors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Moreover, Toronto owns records of 20-8 SU and 16-12 ATS.
The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Dallas takes on the top-notch defense of Toronto. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are second in defensive efficiency.
Mavericks vs. Raptors Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while the Mavericks rank 16th (47.4).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.6) while Toronto ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (38.8).
- The Raptors rank fourth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.4).
- Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (14.9) while Toronto ranks 26th (12.0).
- Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Toronto ranks 21st (5.5).
- The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (19.2) while the Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (15.9).
- The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Mavericks rank 24th (15.5).
- Dallas ranks 13th in assists per game (24.6) while Toronto ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.4).
- Dallas averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Toronto ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.3).
- When allowing under 100 points, Dallas is 4-0 and Toronto is 9-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Mavericks are 19-8 and the Raptors are 18-6.
- Dallas is 11-2 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 10-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 9 of the Mavericks’ 13 road games, while 10 of the Raptors’ 15 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Toronto are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Mavericks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Raptors have 3 unders and 2 overs
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 8.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (2.9 above their season average).
