The Dallas Mavericks (25-15) will travel to the Golden 1 Center to go head-to-head with the Sacramento Kings (15-25). The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
The Mavericks will be looking for a similar result after dismantling the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 124-97, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Kings, on the other hand, were topped by the Orlando Magic, 114-112, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 1.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Sacramento game went 14 points over the projected point total of 212.
Dallas dominated every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 24.4) and a turnover percentage of 6.2 (better than their season average of 11.1). Golden State had marks of 15.6 and 13.1, respectively, for those same stats. Sacramento, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.580 (above their season average of 0.521). De’Aaron Fox played a key role for Sacramento with 31 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds. Dallas, meanwhile, was lifted by Dwight Powell, who recorded 21 points and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Bjelica led the Kings to a 110-106 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 30 points. Sacramento covered as a 9-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 216 points, which was just over the projected point total of 215. The Kings’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Mavericks. Sacramento had a rate of 8.2, while Dallas posted a mark of 11.8.
Mavericks games have a tendency to go over the total (61.5 percent). Dallas comes into the game with records of 25-15 straight up (SU) and 22-17 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Dallas, games including the Kings have typically finished under the total (55.0 percent). Further, Sacramento owns records of 15-25 SU and 20-20 ATS.
The Mavericks’ Tim Hardaway Jr. has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 13 points per game. Meanwhile, Fox has averaged 22 points,7.4 assists,2.4 steals,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Kings.
Getting to the line could be hard to find for Sacramento in this matchup. The Kings currently rank 29th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.174, while Dallas ranks seventh in FTA rate allowed (0.182). Additionally, the Mavericks rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.545), whereas the porous defense of the Kings ranks 21st with an effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.533.
Mavericks at Kings ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 13th in assists per game (24.4) while the Kings rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
- Sacramento ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while Dallas ranks last (16.3).
- The Kings rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.3).
- Sacramento ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Dallas ranks 16th (13.2).
- Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Sacramento ranks seventh (4.3).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while the Kings rank 26th (42.5).
- The Kings rank 19th in steals per game (7.6) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.4).
- Dallas ranks 24th in points in the paint per game (45.3) while Sacramento ranks 26th (44.4).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.9) while Sacramento ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (33.4).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Sacramento is 7-2 and Dallas is 7-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Mavericks are 25-13 and the Kings are 14-18.
- Dallas is 13-4 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 7-13 ATS at home.
- In 17 road games, the Mavericks have 11 overs and 6 unders.
- Of the Kings’ 20 home games, they have 11 unders and 9 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Sacramento are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 7.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (5.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (2.7 above their season average).