Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 04/07/19

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The Dallas Mavericks (31-48) will be at FedExForum to clash with the Memphis Grizzlies (32-47) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 7, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

The Grizzlies have won all three contests against the Mavericks this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 234 points, well over the projected point total of 211.5. Memphis won 122-112, covering as 4-point underdogs. The Grizzlies’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Mavericks. Memphis had a rate of 27.9, while Dallas posted a mark of 22.4. Wright put up a triple-double in the victory, with 26 points, 14 assists and 10 rebounds.

Of the Mavericks’ 79 games, 43 have finished under the total. Dallas comes into the contest with records of 31-48 straight up (SU) and 43-34-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Grizzlies’ 79 games, 44 have finished under the O/U total. Moreover, Memphis is 32-47 SU and 37-41-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams square off. Memphis ranks 29th in possessions per game (98.8) and Dallas is 21st (101.4). Furthermore, the Mavericks rank 22nd in turnover percentage (13.5 percent), while the Grizzlies rank third in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.8 percent).

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies ATS Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while the Mavericks rank 12th (47.9).
  • Memphis ranks sixth in steals per game (8.4) while Dallas ranks 28th (6.6).
  • The Grizzlies rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Mavericks rank 28th (14.6).
  • Memphis ranks 17th in fast-break points per game (12.2) while Dallas ranks last in fast-break points allowed per game (16.7).
  • Dallas ranks 19th in second chance points per game (12.9) while Memphis ranks 29th (11.0).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in blocks per game (5.5) while the Mavericks rank 26th (4.3).
  • The Mavericks rank 18th in rebounds per game (45.1) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (41.5).
  • Memphis ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.3) while Dallas ranks 14th (24.5).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (36.5) while Memphis ranks 26th (28.5).
  • Dallas is 11-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Memphis is 15-7.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Grizzlies are 23-20 and the Mavericks are 30-37.
  • Dallas is 20-18-1 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 21-18 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Mavericks’ 39 road games, while 20 of the Grizzlies’ 39 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Mavericks have outscored opponents by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has been defeated by an average of 1.4 points.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.8 points per game (9.0 above their season average).