Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction 12/22/18

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The Dallas Mavericks (15-15) travel to ORACLE Arena to go head-to-head against the Golden State Warriors (21-11). The Mavericks are 11-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 22, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Mavericks (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 125-121, while the Warriors (2-point favorites) fell to the Utah Jazz, 108-103. The Dallas game finished 23 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Golden State game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.

Dallas had an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.6 (above their season average of 24.0) while Golden State had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 13.5). Stephen Curry had a good game for Golden State, finishing with 32 points. Dallas, meanwhile, received a boost from DeAndre Jordan, who put up 11 points and 22 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Doncic led the Mavericks to a 112-109 victory. He put up 24 points and 9 rebounds. Dallas covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 221 points, which was over the projected point total of 215.5. Getting to the free throw line was one of Dallas’ largest strengths. They had 34 free throw attempts, while Golden State had just 17.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Mavericks games, with 16 overs compared to 14 unders. Dallas holds records of 15-15 straight up (SU) and 17-13 against the spread (ATS).

There does not appear to be a trend for games involving the Warriors in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Golden State is 21-11 SU, but they have a hard time covering the spread (14-18 ATS).

Luka Doncic has really been playing well as of late for Dallas, averaging 19 points,8.4 assists,7.6 rebounds over the last five games.

Golden State should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while Dallas ranks 14th in defensive efficiency.

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 19 in steals allowed per game (8.03125) while the Mavericks rank 26 (8.9).
  • Golden State ranks second in blocks per game (6.2) while Dallas ranks 26th (4.4).
  • The Mavericks average 33.5 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
  • Dallas ranks ninth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Golden State ranks 26th (11.7).
  • Dallas ranks 18 in points in the paint per game (46.733333333333334) while Golden State ranks last (39.75).
  • The Warriors average 16.8 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.1).
  • The Mavericks rank 12 in points off turnovers per game (17.633333333333333) while the Warriors rank 26 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.375).
  • Dallas ranks 3 in rebounds allowed per game (42.36666666666667) while Golden State ranks 6 (42.9375).
  • Golden State ranks first in assists per game (27.6) while Dallas ranks 21st (22.8).
  • Dallas is 4-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-0.
  • The Mavericks are 15-13 when they score more than 100 points, while the Warriors are 21-6.
  • Golden State is 8-8 ATS at home, while Dallas is 5-9 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Mavericks’ 14 road games, while 10 of the Warriors’ 16 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 1-4 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 5.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (6.2 above their season average).