Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction 11/03/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Dallas Mavericks (3-2), 5-point favorites, will travel to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to meet the Cleveland Cavaliers (2-3). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 3, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last outing. The Cavaliers (7-point underdogs) were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 102-95, while the Mavericks (1-point favorites) fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 119-110. The Cleveland game finished 18 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Dallas game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 217.

Dallas had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.0 (above their season average of 20.7) while Cleveland did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (20-25; 80.0 percent). Kevin Love played well for Cleveland with 22 points and 17 rebounds. Dallas, meanwhile, was lifted by Luka Doncic, who notched his first triple-double of the year. He dominated, racking up 31 points, 15 assists and 13 rebounds.

The Mavericks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last game, Dallas won 121-116. The Mavericks’ 25.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Cavaliers, who had a mark of 16.2.

Of the Mavericks’ five games, three have finished over the projected point total. Dallas is 3-2 straight up (SU), but they have a hard time covering the spread (2-3 against the spread (ATS)).

Unlike Dallas, Cavaliers games have typically finished under the total (60.0 percent). Cleveland has a phenomenal record ATS (3-1-1), despite being 2-3 SU.

Getting to the line might be few and far between for Cleveland in this meeting. The Cavaliers rank 22nd in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.187, while Dallas ranks eighth in FTA rate allowed (0.189) since the 2018-19 season.

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while Cleveland ranks 25th (29.3).
  • The Mavericks rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.3) while the Cavaliers rank 27th (10.6).
  • Dallas ranks 22nd in assists per game (23.4) while Cleveland ranks 29th (20.7).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (5.6).
  • The Mavericks are 28th in the NBA with 14.6 points off turnovers per game while the Cavaliers are 29th with 14.2 points off turnovers per game.
  • Cleveland ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Dallas ranks 21st (7.8).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Cleveland is 7-4 and Dallas is 11-4.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Cavaliers are 19-35 and the Mavericks are 35-39.