Dallas Mavericks at Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction

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The Chicago Bulls (4-9) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (4-8) to United Center. The Mavericks can snap a six-game road losing streak. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Odds

The Mavericks come in on a high note after easily covering the 1.5-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last matchup, 111-96. The Bulls, on the other hand, topped the Cleveland Cavaliers,99-98, but failed to cover as 5-point favorites. The Dallas game went 6.5 points under the projected point total of 213.5, while the Chicago game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.

The Mavericks had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.649 (above their season average of 0.519), while the Thunder had a free throw rate of 0.113 (below their season average of 0.219). Chicago, meanwhile, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a free throw rate of 0.171 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.518 (above their season average of 0.515). For those same stats, Cleveland was 0.132 and 0.473, respectively. Zach LaVine fueled Chicago with 24 points, eight rebounds and five assists. Dallas, meanwhile, rallied around Luka Doncic, who finished with 22 points, eight assists and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, DeAndre Jordan led the Mavericks to a 115-109 victory. He notched a double-double with 18 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 224 points, which was just under the projected point total of 229, and Dallas covered as a 5-point favorite. Dallas’ rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Mavericks had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (28 vs. 27) and total rebounds (41 vs. 34).

Of the Mavericks’ 12 games, seven have finished over the O/U total. Although Dallas struggles winning games straight up (4-8 SU), they have a respectable 7-5 record against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Dallas, Bulls games have typically gone under the total (61.5 percent). Chicago has a superb record ATS (8-5), despite being 4-9 SU.

Wendell Carter Jr. has taken his game to another level as of late for Chicago, averaging 15.6 points, 10.6 rebounds, 2.6 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last five games.

Second-chance points might be hard to find for Chicago in this matchup. The Bulls rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (17.6 percent), while Dallas ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.4 percent).

Mavericks at Bulls ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.8) while the Bulls rank eighth (45.4).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.8) while Chicago ranks 26th (34.3).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Bulls rank 23rd (6.8).
  • Dallas ranks 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Chicago ranks 28th (14.2).
  • Dallas ranks 14th in assists per game (23.7) while Chicago ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while the Bulls rank 25th (49.3).
  • The Bulls rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.7) while the Mavericks rank 26th (9.7).
  • Chicago averages 12.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Dallas ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Dallas ranks 10th in second chance points per game (14.7) while Chicago ranks last (9.2).
  • Chicago is 2-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Dallas is 1-0.
  • The Mavericks are 4-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Bulls are 2-7.
  • Chicago is 5-2 ATS at home, while Dallas is 3-3 ATS on the road.
  • The Mavericks have 4 overs and 2 unders in 6 road games.
  • In 7 home games, the Bulls have 5 unders and 2 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bulls are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Chicago has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 6.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 110.2 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (4.7 below their season average).