Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: Free Week 17 Betting Prediction

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To conclude the NFL regular season, the Dallas Cowboys (+7) will be facing off against their NFC East foe New York Giants (-7) at MetLife Stadium. This early afternoon game will start at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FOX.

Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

Dallas is the road underdog in this NFC matchup and is currently getting 7 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Giants are -260. This NFC tilt should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 42.5 points.

Early action has slanted to the under, as the game’s O/U initially opened at 43.5.

The Cowboys are 7-6-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.5 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 6-9.

The Giants have lost 3.3 units this season. The team is 8-6-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 8-7.

The Cowboys are 9-6 straight up (SU), including 4-1 SU against NFC East opponents. The Giants are 5-10 SU overall and 1-4 SU versus divisional foes.

The Cowboys just notched a 27-20 victory over Tampa Bay last week. Dak Prescott completed 20 passes on 25 attempts for only 161 yards and one touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott (85 rushing yards on 18 attempts) led the ground attack. Elliott (five receptions, 24 yards) and Cole Beasley (five catches, 50 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 16, Indianapolis knocked off this New York team by a score of 28-27. Eli Manning completed 25-of-33 passes for 309 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Saquon Barkley (43 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running attack as Sterling Shepard (six receptions, 113 yards) and Evan Engram (six catches, 87 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Dallas has run the ball on 46.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 37.8 percent. The Cowboys have produced 127.5 rush yards/game (including 134.0 per game against East opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The G-Men are totaling 100.5 rushing yards per game (114.4 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has averaged 233.2 yards in the air overall (289.4 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing TDs so far. The G-Men have put up 273.6 pass yards per contest (274 against NFC competition) and have 21 total pass scores.

Dallas has let opponents run for an average of 91.3 yards and pass for 245.5 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 256.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 123.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Cowboys have given up an ANY/A of 6.49 to opposing QBs, while the G-Men are yielding an ANY/A of 6.19.

Passing-wise, Prescott is up to 3,292 yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 69 percent of his 443 attempts with 18 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He has a 6.17 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.51 over the last two games.

Ezekiel Elliott (1,347 rushing yards, six rush TDs, 526 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns on the year), Cole Beasley (536 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Amari Cooper (942 receiving yards, seven TDs) have each played significant roles of late.

Eli Manning has connected on 335-of-491 passes for 3,769 yards, 19 TDs and nine INTs for New York. His ANY/A sits at 6.38 for the season and 5.65 over his past two outings.

We also expect the New York offense to utilize a balanced attack this Sunday. Evan Engram (421 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Sterling Shepard (768 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Saquon Barkley (1,167 rush yards, 10 rush TDs, 663 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) have combined to account for 468 total yards over the past two games.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants NFL Pick

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Dallas’ last game was 48. The under cashed in the team’s 27-20 win over Tampa Bay.
  • Dallas, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 2.9 over its last two.
  • New York has lost six fumbles this season while Dallas has let eight get away.
  • Over its last three matches, Dallas is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Dallas has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a 23-point loss to Indianapolis on December 16th representing the only slip-up over that stretch.
  • The O/U for New York’s previous matchup was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the 28-27 defeat to Indianapolis.
  • Over its last three games, New York is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Cowboys offense has created eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Giants have accounted for 11 such plays.
  • The Dallas defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up seven such plays.
  • The Dallas offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created 15 such runs.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Dallas defense has 38 sacks on the year while New York has just 26.