The South Florida Bulls (19-12, 8-10 AAC) will be 1.5-point underdogs in the American Athletic Conference Tournament at FedExForum when they meet the Connecticut Huskies (15-16, 6-12 AAC). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 133 points and it can be seen on ESPNU at 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019.
Connecticut Huskies vs. South Florida Bulls ATS Odds
The last time the Huskies played, they were victorious over the East Carolina Pirates, 82-73, covering as 6.5-point favorites. The Bulls, meanwhile, were topped by the SMU Mustangs in their last outing, 77-71, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. Both games went 15 points over their projected point totals (140 for the Connecticut game and 133 for the South Florida game).
The Huskies made 16 of their 19 free throws (84.2 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.688 (above their season average of 0.508). South Florida, meanwhile, held SMU to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.5 (below their season average of 34.5). South Florida was led by Alexis Yetna, who had 17 points and 13 rebounds. Jalen Adams, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Connecticut with 13 points and 12 assists.
Of the Huskies’ 31 games, 16 have finished under the total. Connecticut holds records of 15-16 straight up (SU) and 18-13 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Bulls games, with an even split between overs and unders. Moreover, South Florida owns records of 19-12 SU and 18-11-1 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a major edge for South Florida in this matchup. The Bulls are among the country’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 38.5 percent. Meanwhile, Connecticut ranks 257th in the NCAA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 70.0 percent.
Connecticut Huskies vs. South Florida Bulls Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – South Florida, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Connecticut ranks 34th in blocks per game (4.4) while South Florida ranks 180th in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
- The Huskies rank 14th in three pointers allowed per game (18.5) while the Bulls rank 52nd (19.9).
- The Bulls rank 22nd in rebounds per game (39.2) while the Huskies rank 139th (35.6).
- South Florida ranks 29th in steals per game (7.9) while Connecticut ranks 129th (6.2).
Bettings Trends:
- The Huskies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Connecticut has 3 unders and 2 overs, while South Florida has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Huskies have scored an average of 67.2 points per game (7.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.6 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
- The Bulls have been outscored by an average of 5.4 points in their last five games. On the season, South Florida has defeated opponents by an average of 5.5 points.
