The Columbia Lions (6-13, 1-4 Ivy) will be at Edward Leede Arena to meet the Dartmouth Big Green (10-11, 1-4 Ivy) in an Ivy matchup. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Columbia Lions at Dartmouth Big Green Betting Odds
Both teams lost a close one in their last outing. The Lions (5-point favorites) were defeated by the Harvard Crimson, 98-96, while the Big Green (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Cornell Big Red, 83-80. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Columbia game finished 54.5 points over the projected point total of 139.5, while the Dartmouth game finished 17 points over the projected point total of 146.
Columbia had a better turnover percentage (15.6 vs. 17.4) while Dartmouth forced Cornell into a turnover percentage of 18.7 (above the 13.7 mark opponents have averaged against Dartmouth this season). Chris Knight put together a good outing for Dartmouth with 27 points and five assists. Columbia was led by Patrick Tape, who put up 22 points and 12 rebounds.
This was a highly competitive series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the most recent matchup, the Big Green won 80-78. Dartmouth’s 0.679 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Columbia, who had a rate of 0.508. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Vegas is exceedingly precise when predicting totals of Lions games, with an even split between overs and unders. Columbia holds records of 6-13 straight up (SU) and 7-8-1 against the spread (ATS).
Much like to Columbia, there does not appear to be a trend for Big Green games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Dartmouth is 10-11 SU and 8-8-2 ATS.
Dartmouth should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Big Green currently rank 47th in effective field goal percentage (0.545), while Columbia ranks 245th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.516). Also, the Lions, who rank 349th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.147), could struggle to get to the line against the Big Green, who rank 37th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.185).
Columbia Lions at Dartmouth Big Green Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Dartmouth, ATS Winner – Dartmouth, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Columbia ranks 23rd in steals per game (8.2) while Dartmouth ranks 204th (4.7).
- The Big Green rank 169th in rebounds per game (35.1) while the Lions rank 186th in rebounds allowed per game (35.7).
- Dartmouth ranks 61st in blocks per game (4.0) while Columbia ranks 76th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
- The Big Green rank 56th in three pointers attempted per game (25.6) while the Lions rank 207th in three pointers allowed per game (24.1).
- Columbia averages 17.1 assists per game, which ranks 16th in the country. Dartmouth ranks 63rd in assists allowed per game (11.8).
- Dartmouth is 4-3-1 ATS at home, while Columbia is 5-5 ATS on the road.
- The Lions have 6 unders and 4 overs in 10 road games.
- Of the Big Green’s 8 home games, they have 4 overs and 4 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Big Green are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Lions are 2-2.
- In their last five games, Dartmouth has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Columbia has 2 overs and 2 unders.
- The Big Green have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Dartmouth has defeated opponents by an average of 4.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Lions have scored an average of 68.2 points per game (6.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 71.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
