The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies in a Saturday showdown. This NL matchup gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on ATRM and NSPA.
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Colorado (receiving +165) is the underdog to Philadelphia (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-135) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+115).
The Rockies are 20-23 SU and are 21-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 0.9 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 25-19 SU and 22-21 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.1 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 19-24 so far in 2019. The Rockies have been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-17-2.
Right-hander Antonio Senzatela will get the start for Colorado. Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) has racked up 23 strikeouts in 33.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are turning to Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86 ERA). Nola has 48 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.55. Nola is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
Philadelphia’s offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .230/.287/.366 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the charge for the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is hitting .296/.363/.453 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Segura’s line sits at .324/.360/.500 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.65 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a K/9 of 8.01.
Rockies hitters have slashed .247/.311/.436 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 6.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Colorado’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon, who’ve collectively blasted 20 home runs. Arenado is slashing .312/.358/.590 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Blackmon is slashing .294/.357/.565 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Rockies have lost 0.8 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.6 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.
Rockies vs. Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Rockies have a team OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .729 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .739 overall and .737 against righties.
- Colorado has posted 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
- The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
