Nolan Arenado and the Colorado Rockies will be taking the field against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Thursday showdown. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Las Vegas has Colorado (+105) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-115). The total currently stands at 9 runs and gamblers can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Rockies +1.5 (-200) and Brewers -1.5 (+170).
The Brewers are 17-15 straight up (SU) and 15-16 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 3.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies have gone 14-17 SU this year and are 14-16 ATS. In total, the club has lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the year and 3.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 12-18-1 so far in 2019. The Rockies have an over/under record of 12-16-2.
Jon Gray will get the start for Colorado. The right-handed Gray is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA and 34 strikeouts. This will be his first start against Milwaukee this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 4.72 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Brewers will deploy righty Freddy Peralta (1-0, 7.13 ERA) to the mound. Peralta has 22 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.53 WHIP. Peralta made two starts against the Rockies in 2018, putting together a spotless 2-0 record with a 1.54 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.97 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.46, along with a K-per-9 of 7.90.
Rockies hitters have slashed .234/.301/.410 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is hitting .285/.328/.553 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon (.280/.341/.464) is up to three homers, 16 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 5.28 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.320/.407 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .353/.460/.804 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .270/.326/.405 with 34 hits, nine RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Rockies have lost 3.0 units and are 9-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 1.8 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 13 which went under the total.
Rockies at Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- Milwaukee has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Rockies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Rockies have a team OPS of .711 this season and an OPS of .721 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .778 overall and .765 against righties.
