Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Colorado Rockies at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSWI.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Colorado (+115) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-125). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Picking the over will return even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -180 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Rockies are 13-15 SU and are 13-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.9 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 1.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 15-14 SU and 13-15 ATS. They’ve gained 2.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 12-15-1 so far in 2019. Rockies games have gone under 14 times, gone over 11 times and pushed on two occasions.

Kyle Freeland is getting the start for the Rockies. The southpaw Freeland is 2-3 with a 4.23 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six and one-third innings).

The Brewers will turn to righty Zach Davies (2-0, 1.65 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a 1.35 WHIP. Davies did not register a start against the Rockies in 2018.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.74 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

Milwaukee’s offense has put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.324/.398 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters so far. Yelich is hitting .353/.460/.804 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases, and Cain is hitting .274 with 31 hits, nine RBIs and 21 runs.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.87 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.55, along with a K-per-9 of 7.90.

Rockies hitters have slashed .238/.301/.416 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Colorado’s offense has been fueled by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story. Blackmon is slashing .288/.341/.475 with three home runs, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Story is hitting .300/.366/.555 with seven homers, 19 RBIs, 22 runs and six stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 0.1 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 1.6 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.

Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Colorado’s last seven contests.
  • The Rockies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 19 over their last 10.
  • The Rockies have an OPS of .716 this season and an OPS of .721 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .785 overall and .776 versus righties.
  • Colorado has posted 26.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.