Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to do battle against the Colorado Rockies at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the action and the game will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Colorado (+100) is the underdog to Arizona (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -210 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +175 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Rockies have gone 84-70 SU this year and are 78-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.7 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 79-76 SU and 76-78 ATS. They’ve lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.6 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 71-77-6 in 2018. Colorado has also been a solid under bet with a total record of 64-82-7.

Southpaw Kyle Freeland will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. Freeland is 15-7 with a 2.95 ERA and 163 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Arizona this year (four starts).

The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Zack Godley (14-10, 4.79 ERA), who has 175 strikeouts and 76 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.45. Godley is 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA over three starts against Colorado this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 69 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.

The Arizona hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .188/.202/.375 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have led the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .296/.396/.548 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and Peralta is batting .295 with 29 homers, 84 RBIs and 74 runs.

For the visitors, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a K-per-9 of 8.98.

The Rockies offense has slashed .254/.321/.426 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story have paced Colorado’s offense. Blackmon is slashing .288/.357/.493 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 111 runs scored. Story (.288/.343/.550) has produced 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 9.8 units and are 45-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.4 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Colorado has logged four extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • Colorado has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.4 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have dropped six of their last seven games SU.