The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be televised on both RTNW and ATRM.
Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners Odds
Vegas has listed Seattle (-125) as the favorite over Colorado (+115). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. The games runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mariners -1.5.
The Mariners are 56-34 straight up (SU) and 46-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rockies are 46-43 SU and have gone 44-44 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 0.5 units for moneyline bettors and 0.5 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Neither squad has positioned itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Seattle games have an over/under record of 43-44-2 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 41-43-4.
The right-handed Antonio Senzatela is the probable starter for Colorado. Senzatela is 3-1 with a 4.44 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 7.20 ERA and seven strikeouts across five innings).
The Mariners are turning to lefty Wade LeBlanc (4-0, 3.19 ERA), who’s got 60 punchouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.15. LeBlanc did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.
Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.32, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K-per-9 of 8.76.
Rockies hitters have slashed .253/.320/.424 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the teams last five contests (5-0 SU).
Colorado’s offense has been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story, who have combined to belt 38 home runs. Arenado is slashing .306/.389/.587 with 22 home runs, 63 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Story is hitting .282 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs, 44 runs and 11 stolen bases.
For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starting pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .245/.305/.405 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon have led the charge for the Mariners hitters this year. Segura is hitting .333/.361/.475 with seven home runs, 47 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .282/.302/.348 with 93 hits, 21 RBIs, 39 runs and 22 steals.
The Rockies have lost 1.0 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 20.6 units and are 31-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Colorado has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Seattle has 13 XBH over its last five.
- The Rockies have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Mariners have lost three of their last four.
- Seattle has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
