Nolan Arenado and the Colorado Rockies will be hitting the diamond versus the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Sunday matinee. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on both ATRM and SNY.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets Odds
Las Vegas has Colorado (+175) as the underdog to New York (-185). The total currently stands at 8 runs and bettors can play the over for -115 and the under for -105. There’s a runline of Rockies +1.5 (-125) and Mets -1.5 (+105) for this matchup.
The Rockies are 33-30 SU and are 35-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 31-33 SU and 30-33 ATS. They’ve lost 10.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have a 33-25-5 over/under record so far in 2019. The Rockies have an over/under record of 32-27-3.
Jeff Hoffman is getting the start for Colorado. The right-handed Hoffman is 1-2 with a 7.29 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are sending righty Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 4.83 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 81 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Syndergaard only made one start against the Rockies in 2018 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.55 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 8.21.
Rockies hitters have slashed .262/.326/.453 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Colorado’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story, who’ve collectively launched 31 home runs. Arenado is hitting .332/.383/.604 with 16 home runs, 55 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Story is hitting .292 with 15 homers, 43 RBIs, 57 runs and 11 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.24, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 5.12 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .279/.357/.515 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the way for the Mets’ offense this year. McNeil is hitting .335/.411/.454 with 62 hits, 17 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Alonso’s line sits at .261/.341/.604 with 21 homers, 46 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Rockies have gained 3.3 units and are 21-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 7.3 units and are 22-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.
Rockies at Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Colorado’s last seven games.
- The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
- New York has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
- The Rockies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Rockies have an OPS of .779 this season and an OPS of .777 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .748 overall and .736 versus righties.
