The New York Mets are set to host the Colorado Rockies at Citi Field. This NL matchup begins at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATRM and SNY.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets Odds
Vegas has listed Colorado (+180) as the underdog to New York (-190). If you think the game’s total will go under 7.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-125) and Mets -1.5 runs (+105).
The Rockies are 32-29 SU and have gone 33-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 30-32 SU and 29-32 ATS. They’ve lost 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 32-24-5 so far in 2019. Colorado has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 32-25-3.
Antonio Senzatela is getting the nod for the Rockies. The right-handed Senzatela is 4-4 with a 5.33 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are going with righty Jacob deGrom (3-5, 3.49 ERA), who has 84 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.15. deGrom only made one start against the Rockies in 2018 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and seven strikeouts across eight innings).
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.28, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
New York’s offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .264/.323/.471 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have paced the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .345/.423/.469 with 61 hits, 17 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Alonso is hitting .265 with 20 homers, 45 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.61 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.04, along with a K-per-9 of 8.20.
The Rockies offense has slashed .262/.327/.456 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is hitting .337/.387/.617 with 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Story is hitting .292/.362/.551 with 15 homers, 43 RBIs, 57 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Rockies have gained 1.4 units and are 20-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve cashed the under.
Rockies at Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Colorado’s last seven games.
- The Rockies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Rockies have an OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .780 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .748 overall and .736 versus righties.
- New York has posted 25 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23 over its last five.
