Trevor Story and the surging Colorado Rockies will take on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Saturday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSSO.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Las Vegas has Colorado (+115) as the underdog to Atlanta (-125). You can play matchup’s total with current odds listed at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. This game currently has a runline of Rockies +1.5 (-180) and Braves -1.5 (+160).
The Rockies have gone 12-14 SU this year and are 11-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 3.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 12-13 SU and 11-13 ATS. They’ve lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.1 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 12-10-2 so far in 2019. Colorado has an over/under record of 9-14-2.
Jon Gray will get the nod for Colorado. The right-handed Gray is 2-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).
The Braves are giving Mike Foltynewicz an opportunity to show what he’s got. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for the righty Foltynewicz.
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.56, along with a K-per-9 of 8.26.
The Rockies offense has slashed .237/.298/.401 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s offense. Story is slashing .297/.363/.535 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 20 runs and six steals. Blackmon (.275/.328/.459) is up to three homers, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .299/.361/.478 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .313/.431/.479 with three home runs, 15 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Markakis has put up a line of .333/.413/.483 with 29 hits, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
The Rockies have lost 0.9 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 3.4 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve cashed the under.
Rockies vs. Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Colorado has recorded 24 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Rockies have won four of their last five games SU while the Braves have dropped three of their last four.
- Atlanta has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.2 over its last five.
- The Rockies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Rockies have a total OPS of .699 this season and an OPS of .705 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .811 overall and .768 versus righties.
