Nolan Arenado and the Colorado Rockies will make a road trip to Phoenix to take on a divisional opponent in the Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game will begin at 9:40 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSAZ.
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Las Vegas has Arizona (-135) as the favorite over Colorado (+125). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 9.5 runs, then Vegas is currently offering -105 odds for the under. Picking the over will return -115 odds. This game currently has a runline of Rockies +1.5 (-170) and Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150).
The Rockies have gone 37-34 SU this year and are 38-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.7 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 38-35 SU and 44-29 ATS. The team’s gained 6.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have a 36-34-3 over/under record so far in 2019. Colorado has been a decent over bet with a total record of 37-29-5.
Antonio Senzatela will get the start for the visiting Rockies. The right-handed Senzatela (5-5, 5.48 ERA) has racked up 35 strikeouts in 63 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will deploy righty Merrill Kelly (7-6, 3.73 ERA) to the mound. Kelly has 63 strikeouts and 25 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Kelly is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.85 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.47.
Rockies hitters have slashed .271/.335/.465 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 6.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 9.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story. Arenado is slashing .321/.379/.578 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Story (.292/.359/.549) is up to 17 homers, 48 RBIs, 64 runs and 12 steals.
In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 30 games against divisional opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 5.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.83.
The Arizona hitters have produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .259/.317/.500 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is hitting .286/.341/.566 with 20 home runs, 50 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .292/.349/.567 with 17 homers, 58 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
The Rockies have gained 2.0 units and are 21-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 5.3 units and are 30-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 26 which went under the total.
Rockies at Diamondbacks Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in five of Colorado’s last seven contests.
- Colorado has posted 31.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 40.2 over its last five.
- The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Rockies have an OPS of .800 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .785 overall and .739 versus righties.
