The No. 20 Virginia Cavaliers (+1) are heading south to visit their ACC nemesis Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium. ESPN has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Miami (FL) is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 1 point in this Friday ACC game. The Cavaliers are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -115. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 46 points, and if one program can catch a lucky break early, it’ll likely create a nice betting opportunity in-game.
The game’s total has moved down after opening at 46.5. The original line (-1) has yet to change.
The Cavaliers are 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-2.
The Hurricanes have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 10.2 units. The team is 2-3 ATS and also has an O/U record of 3-2.
The Cavaliers are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against conference opponents. The Hurricanes are 2-3 SU overall and 0-2 SU in conference play.
The Cavaliers dropped one to Notre Dame 35-20 in a matchup where their defense allowed the Fighting Irish to run for 157 yards on 37 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Offensively, Bryce Perkins completed 30-of-43 passes for 334 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. The Cavaliers rushed for just four yards as a team in the loss.
One week ago, Virginia Tech got the win against this Miami (FL) crew by a score of 42-35. As a group, the team collectively completed 32-of-55 passes for 469 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. N’Kosi Perry went 28-for-47 for 422 yards, four touchdowns and one interception while Jarren Williams was four-of-seven for 47 yards and three interceptions. Perry (-16 yards on nine rush attempts) and DeeJay Dallas (66 yards on six carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Brevin Jordan (seven receptions, 136 yards, one TD) and Jeff Thomas (six catches, 124 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Each of these squads has a remarkably similar (47-53) run-pass ratio on the season. The Cavaliers have rushed for 107.6 yards/game (including 124.5 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are averaging 133.6 rushing yards per game (136.5 in conference) and have nine total rush TDs.
It seems like the Hurricanes ought to have the advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Cavaliers have ran for 3.4 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 2.6 to opponents.
The Wahoos offensive scheme has averaged 256 yards through the air overall (238 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Hurricanes have produced 315 pass yards per game (389 in the ACC) and have 12 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Virginia seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 91.4 yards and throw for 184 yards per game. The Miami (FL) defense has allowed 204.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 78.4 yards per game on the ground. The Wahoos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.16 to opposing QBs, while the Hurricanes have given up a 5.88 ANY/A.
Offensively, Perkins is up to 1,002 passing yards this season, and has connected on 67 percent of his 143 attempts with seven passing scores and six interceptions. He has a 5.06 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.27 over the last two games.
Hasise Dubois, Joe Reed and Wayne Taulapapa have combined to account for 378 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
In the other huddle, N’Kosi Perry has completed 35-of-57 passes for 501 yards, five TDs and one INT. Perry’s ANY/A stands at 8.21 for the season and 7.89 across his last two outings.
We also expect the Miami (FL) offense to try for a balanced attack this Friday. Brevin Jordan (299 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Jeff Thomas (227 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and DeeJay Dallas (375 rush yards, five rush TDs, 49 receiving yards) have combined to account for 503 total yards and five touchdowns the last two games.
When these two teams met last year, Virginia knocked off Miami (FL) by a field goal 16-13.
Virginia Cavaliers at Miami (FL) Hurricanes NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Virginia, ATS Winner: Virginia, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have accounted for three such plays.
- The Virginia defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Miami (FL) has given up four such plays.
- The Virginia offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Miami (FL) has created nine such runs.
- The Cavaliers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have given up two such runs.
- The Virginia defense has 24 sacks on the year while Miami (FL) has just 13.
- Virginia has averaged 2.1 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 1.3 over its last two.
- Miami (FL) has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.5 over its past two.
- Over its last three matchups, Miami (FL) is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Virginia’s last game was 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-20 loss to Notre Dame.
- Over its last three games, Virginia is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last matchup was set at 47. The over cashed in that 42-35 loss to Virginia Tech.
