College Football Free Pick – Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Bowling Green Falcons

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The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-10) are heading northeast to take on the Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The matchup kicks off at 5:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action live on ESPN+.

Betting Preview: Bowling Green Falcons vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

In this Saturday game, Louisiana Tech is labeled as the big favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to wager $400 to win $100 back on the Bulldogs (-400). The Falcons are getting +300 moneyline odds. If one team can get out in front early it will produce a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 55.5 points.

The line opened at 9.5. The game’s over/under hasn’t moved since it opened at 55.5.

The Bulldogs are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Falcons have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-2.

The Bulldogs have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Falcons are also 1-1 SU.

The Bulldogs are coming off a 20-14 victory over Grambling State last week. J’mar Smith completed 17-of-25 passes for 220 yards and one touchdown. Israel Tucker (71 rushing yards on 16 attempts) spearheaded the running attack. Cee Jay Powell (four receptions, 57 yards) and Griffin Hebert (three catches, 68 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Bowling Green was just shut out 52-0 by Kansas State. The defense allowed the Wildcats to eat up the clock by running for 333 yards on 58 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. Malik Knowles put up a solid showing, posting 99 yards and two touchdowns on five catches for Kansas State. As a group, the Falcons collectively completed 11-of-24 passes for 79 yards. Darius Wade went eight-for-19 for 79 yards while Grant Loy was three-of-five for zero yards. Davon Jones (47 yards on eight rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Denley (three receptions, 23 yards) and Christian Sims (two catches, four yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Louisiana Tech has run the ball on 45.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Bowling Green has an overall rush percentage of 57.2 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 121.5 rush yards per game and have one score on the ground this year. The Falcons are totaling 193.5 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Falcons may hold an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their backfield has logged 4.7 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 4.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Bulldogs have tallied 3.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.

The Bulldogs offensive scheme has tallied 280 yards/contest through the air overall and has three passing score so far. The Falcons have put up 186.5 pass yards per contest and have four total pass TDs.

Defensively, Louisiana Tech has let opponents rush for an average of 184.5 yards and pass for 270 yards per game. The Bowling Green defense has allowed 106 yards per game to opposing passers and 189.5 yards per game on the ground. The Falcons are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6 to opposing QBs, while the Bulldogs have allowed a 7.15 ANY/A.

Wade has connected on 8-of-19 passes for 79 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs. Wade’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at a horrendous 3.40 for the year and 7.13 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Smith is up to 220 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 17-of-25 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Smith’s got a 9.19 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 7.17 over the last two games.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Bowling Green Falcons Free Pick

SU Winner: Louisiana Tech, ATS Winner: Louisiana Tech, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team has lost one fumble this year.
  • The Bulldogs offense has created two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Falcons have put up zero such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards. The Louisiana Tech defense has given up zero pass plays of 30+ yards while Bowling Green has given up one such plays.
  • Both teams have produced one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The Louisiana Tech offense has recorded six running plays of 10+ yards while Bowling Green has accounted for 12 such plays.
  • The Bulldogs defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Falcons have given up two such runs.
  • The Bowling Green defensive unit has notched six sacks on the year while Louisiana Tech has four.