The No. 9 Fighting Irish of Notre Dame (-45) are set to host the Bowling Green Falcons at Notre Dame Stadium. This Saturday afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and NBC will broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Bowling Green Falcons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Bowling Green is a big road underdog here and is currently getting 45 points from oddsmakers. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 60 points. Based on how it’s shaping up, this game will probably offer some live betting possibilities.
The Falcons are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 1-3.
The Fighting Irish have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and own an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Falcons are only 1-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Fighting Irish are 3-1 SU.
The Falcons came up short to Kent State 62-20 in a blowout where the passing attack could’ve been sharper as the Falcons completed 23-of-33 passes for 206 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Darius Wade went 18-for-25 for 161 yards and two interceptions while Grant Loy completed five-of-eight for 45 yards and one touchdown. Andrew Clair (61 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack. RB Marlow III (six receptions, 69 yards) and Quintin Morris (four catches, 47 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Notre Dame enter this Saturday’s matchup following a 35-20 win over Virginia. Ian Book completed 17-of-25 passes for 165 yards. Tony Jones Jr (131 rushing yards on 18 attempts, three TDs) handled the running attack as Chase Claypool (six receptions, 30 yards) and Cole Kmet (four catches, 65 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Bowling Green has run the ball on 56.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Notre Dame has a rush percentage of 51.8 percent. The Falcons have produced 165 rush yards per game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Irish are totaling 147.5 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Irish may hold an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness, as their running backs has produced 4.5 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Falcons have rushed for 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 5.1 YPC to opponents.
The Falcons offense has tallied 187.5 yards/game in the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Irish have recorded 266.8 pass yards per game and have nine total pass TDs.
Defensively, Bowling Green has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 220.8 yards and throw for 227.8 yards per game. The Notre Dame defense has allowed 201.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 154.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Irish are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.04 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have given up an ugly 8.95 ANY/A.
Book likely has the advantage over Wade in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.80 for the season and 4.70 over his last two games while Wade’s ANY/A is 5.39 and 2.75 over the last two outings.
Bowling Green Falcons at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free Prediction
SU Winner: Notre Dame, ATS Winner: Bowling Green, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- As a team, Bowling Green has produced 3.1 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.1 over its last two.
- Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its past two.
- The Notre Dame offense has lost two fumbles this season while Bowling Green has let one get away.
- The Falcons offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Fighting Irish have put up four such plays.
- The Bowling Green defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Notre Dame has given up two such plays.
- The Bowling Green offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Notre Dame has created six such runs.
- The Falcons defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Fighting Irish have given up four such runs.
- Each team defense has tallied 12 sacks this year.
