College Football Free Betting Pick – San Jose State Spartans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

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The San Jose State Spartans (+7) are traveling east to take on their MWC counterpart Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at Hawaiian Airlines Field at Aloha Stadium. The matchup gets going at 11:00 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on FCBK.

Betting Preview: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. San Jose State Spartans

In this Saturday Mountain West game, Hawaii has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put down $300 to win $100 back on the Rainbow Warriors (-300). The Spartans are getting +220 moneyline odds. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) pretty highly at 77 points. Some good live betting possibilities might exist during this game.

The game’s total has shifted upward after opening at 76.5. The original spread (-7) has stayed firm.

The Spartans are 5-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.1 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 4-5.

The Rainbow Warriors are up 3.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-3.

The Spartans have gone 4-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against MWC opponents. The Rainbow Warriors are 5-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.

The Spartans will attempt to bounce back after a 52-42 loss to Boise State last weekTheir defense allowed the Broncos to rush for 253 yards on 51 attempts, including six rush TDs. John Hightower posted a good day for the Broncos in that one with 129 yards on five catches. On the offense, Josh Love completed just 29-of-53 passes for 438 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. DeJon Packer (only 28 yards on 10 rush attempts, but two TDs) spearheaded the ground attack while Tre Walker (nine receptions, 193 yards) and Bailey Gaither (eight catches, 110 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

On November 2, Fresno State got the win against this Hawaii team by a score of 41-38. The Rainbow Warriors defense allowed the Bulldogs to run for 290 yards on 40 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Ronnie Rivers had a productive showing for Fresno State, posting 103 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts. As a group, the Rainbow Warriors collectively completed 26-of-51 passes for 346 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Cole McDonald went 21-for-42 for 275 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Chevan Cordeiro was five-of-nine for 71 yards. Miles Reed (75 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Fred Holly III (84 yards on seven carries, one TD) handled the running game while Cedric Byrd II (eight receptions, 97 yards) and Jason-Matthew Sharsh (seven catches, 82 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. San Jose State has run the ball on 38.5 percent of its offensive possessions while Hawaii has a rush percentage of 37.4. The Spartans have run for 82.2 yards/game (including 55.6 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Rainbow Warriors are putting up 142 rush yards per game (159.6 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Spartans might have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has given up only 39 sacks while the D-line registered 11 sacks. The Rainbow Warriors offensive line has allowed 46 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 30 times.

The Spartans offensive scheme has averaged 325.1 yards in the air overall (350.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Rainbow Warriors have recorded a ridiculous 353.6 pass yards per outing (354 against MWC competition) and have 29 total pass TDs.

Defensively, San Jose State seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 238.3 yards and pass for 207.1 yards per game. The Hawaii defense has allowed 231.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 214.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Spartans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.15 to opposing QBs, while the Rainbow Warriors have allowed a 6.85 ANY/A.

Offensively, Love is up to 2,479 passing yards this year, and has completed 58 percent of his 315 attempts with 14 scores through the air and only four interceptions. He’s got a 7.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.40 over the past two outings.

Look for Love to attack all areas of the Hawaii secondary. Tre Walker (357 receiving yards and one touchdown), Bailey Gaither (574 yards, four TDs) and Isaiah Hamilton (357 yards, two TDs) have all been heavily involved recently.

Cole McDonald has managed to complete 209-of-325 passes for 2,559 yards, 24 TDs and 11 INTs for Hawaii. His ANY/A stands at 7.47 for the season and 6.27 across his past two outings.

Look for a balanced offensive approach from Hawaii in this one. Miles Reed (348 rushing yards, four rush TDs this season), Cole McDonald (213 rush yards, two rush TDs, zero receiving yards) and Cedric Byrd II (728 receiving yards, nine receiving TDs) have all played significant roles recently. The trio has combined for 489 total yards and five touchdowns over the past two games.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Hawaii won by a field goal 44-41.

San Jose State Spartans at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Hawaii, ATS Winner: Hawaii, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for San Jose State’s previous game was set at 61. The over cashed in the team’s 52-42 defeat to Boise State.
  • As a team, San Jose State has averaged 3.5 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Hawaii has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 7.1 over its last two.
  • The Hawaii offense has lost 10 fumbles this season while San Jose State has let four get away.
  • In its last three matchups, San Jose State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Hawaii’s last match was set at 66. The over cashed in the team’s 41-38 loss to Fresno State.
  • Over its last three matches, Hawaii is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Each team has produced 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Spartans have have made 21 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Rainbow Warriors have created 20 such plays.
  • The San Jose State defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Hawaii has given up seven such plays.
  • The San Jose State offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Hawaii has created nine such runs.
  • The Spartans defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rainbow Warriors have given up 20 such runs.
  • The San Jose State defense has sacked opposing QBs 15 times this season. Hawaii has registered 11 sacks.