College Football Free Betting Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders

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The No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10.5) and Texas Tech Red Raiders will collide on the turf at Jones AT&T Stadium. FS1 is scheduled to have the TV rights and the critical afternoon game kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Oklahoma State is projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10.5 points. The Cowboys are also receiving -425 moneyline odds while the Red Raiders are +315. If one side can catch a lucky break early it would create a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 63.5 points.

The early action has leaned toward the Cowboys, as the line opened at 8. The O/U has not changed after being initially set at 63.5.

The Cowboys have gained 2.0 units so far and are 4-0-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3.

The Red Raiders are down 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 1-3.

The Cowboys have gone 4-1 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Red Raiders are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.

The Cowboys are coming off a resounding 26-13 victory over Kansas State last weekTheir defense allowed the Wildcats to run for 126 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. James Gilbert had a productive day for the Wildcats in that one with 44 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts. Offensively, Spencer Sanders completed 16-of-25 passes for just 153 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Chuba Hubbard (296 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Sanders (52 yards on 14 carries) led the running attack. Tylan Wallace (eight receptions, 145 yards) and Landon Wolf (three catches, -5 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

One game ago, Oklahoma got the win against this Texas Tech team by a score of 55-16. The Red Raiders defense allowed the Sooners to pass for 443 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 201 yards and four scores. CeeDee Lamb was outstanding, recording 185 yards and three touchdowns on seven catches for the Sooners. As a group, the Red Raiders collectively completed 12-of-26 passes for 122 yards. Jett Duffey went 11-for-20 for 120 yards while Jackson Tyner was one-of-five for two yards. SaRodorick Thompson had an outstanding day in the loss. In addition to 96 rushing yards on 13 attempts, Thompson also reeled in four catches for 14 yards.

Oklahoma State has run the ball on 64 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas Tech has an overall rush percentage of 41.8 percent. The Cowboys have rushed for 291 yards per game (including 299.5 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Red Raiders are putting up 173.5 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

Based on the early season results, the Cowboys should have an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their backfield has produced 6.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Red Raiders have ran for 5.3 yards per carry and allowed 4.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has averaged 241.2 yards in the air overall (210.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Red Raiders have produced 286.5 pass yards per contest and have six total pass TDs.

Oklahoma State has let opponents rush for an average of 165.8 yards and pass for 215 yards per game. The Texas Tech defense has given up 211 yards per game to opposing passers and 179.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.51 to opposing QBs, while the Red Raiders have allowed a 7.15 ANY/A.

Bowman has managed to complete 101-of-154 passes for 1,020 yards, six TDs and three INTs. Bowman’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.39 for the season and 4.31 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Sanders has amassed 775 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 59-of-89 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Sanders has an 8.31 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 3.95 over the past two outings.

These two squads met a year ago with the final result being a 41-17 victory for Texas Tech.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Prediction

SU Winner: Oklahoma State, ATS Winner: Oklahoma State, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • Each team defense has tallied seven sacks this year.
  • Texas Tech has lost two fumbles in 2019 while the Oklahoma State offense has lost three.
  • The Cowboys offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Red Raiders have put up three such plays.
  • The Oklahoma State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Texas Tech has given up six such plays.
  • The Oklahoma State offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Texas Tech has created six such runs.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have given up seven such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Texas Tech’s previous game going into it was 68. The over cashed in the 55-16 loss to Oklahoma.
  • Over its last three contests, Texas Tech is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three matches, Oklahoma State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s previous game was set at 59.5. The under cashed in the team’s 26-13 win over Kansas State.
  • As a team, Oklahoma State has produced 6.4 yards per carry across its last three contests and 6.0 over its last two.
  • Texas Tech has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.