College Football Free ATS Pick – Washington Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal

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The No. 15 Washington Huskies (-14.5) are set to take on the No. 23 Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. This conference game is scheduled to get underway at 10:30 p.m. ET and ESPN will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Washington Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal

Stanford is a live dog and is currently getting 14.5 points in this Pac-12 game. The Huskies are also receiving -750 moneyline odds while the Cardinal are +510. If one team can create a bunch of points early it will create a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 50 points.

The sharp action is siding with the Huskies, as the opening line was 13. The game’s over/under has not changed after it was set initially at 50.

The Huskies have lost 3.5 units so far in 2019 and are 4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 3-2.

The Cardinal have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-4 ATS and also have an O/U record of 3-2.

The Huskies are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinal are 2-3 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.

These two teams faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 27-23 win for Washington.

The Huskies are coming off a resounding 28-14 victory over USC last week. The Huskies defense allowed the Trojans to rush for 212 yards on 33 attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offensive side, Jacob Eason completed 16 passes for only 180 yards. Salvon Ahmed (153 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Aaron Fuller (six receptions, 68 yards) and Hunter Bryant (four catches, 49 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Stanford is coming off of a 31-28 win over Oregon State. Davis Mills completed 18-of-25 passes for 245 yards and three touchdowns. Cameron Scarlett (92 yards on 24 rush attempts) handled the running attack while Connor Wedington (five receptions, 31 yards) and Osiris St. Brown (four catches, 46 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Washington has run the ball on 56.7 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 59.1 percent across possessions in conference play. Stanford has a rush percentage of 47 percent, and has carried the ball 50.3 percent of the time when facing Pac-12 opponents. The Huskies have produced 191.2 rush yards per game (including 189.5 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cardinal are putting up 112 rushing yards per game (104 in conference) and have two total rush TDs.

The Huskies offense has averaged 252.4 yards through the air overall (171 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Cardinal have produced 215.2 pass yards per outing (203 against Pac-12 competition) and have seven total pass scores.

Defensively, Washington appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 137.4 rush yards and 203.2 pass yards per game. The Stanford D has given up 287.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 126.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Huskies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.78 to opponents, while the Cardinal have given up a staggering 8.99 ANY/A.

Mills has completed 50-of-80 passes for 597 yards, four TDs and one INT for Stanford. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.04 for the year and 10.59 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Eason is up to 953 passing yards this year, and has completed 79-of-117 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only one interception. Eason’s got a sparkling 8.41 ANY/A, including 8.57 over the last two outings.

Washington Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal Free Pick

SU Winner: Washington, ATS Winner: Washington, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Washington’s last game was set at 61.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-14 win over USC.
  • Washington has produced 5.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.1 over its last two.
  • Stanford has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 3.3 over its last two.
  • The Stanford offense has lost two fumbles this season while Washington has lost three.
  • Over its last three contests, Washington is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Stanford’s previous outing going into it was 56. The over cashed in the 31-28 victory over Oregon State.
  • In its last three games, Stanford is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Huskies offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinal have accounted for zero such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards. The Washington defense has given up two pass plays of 30+ yards while Stanford has given up eight such plays.
  • The Washington offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Stanford has created four such runs.
  • The Huskies defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cardinal have given up six such runs.
  • The Stanford D has sacked opposing QBs 12 times this year. Washington has recorded 11 sacks.