The Purdue Boilermakers and No. 23 Iowa Hawkeyes are ready to collide on the turf at Kinnick Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN2 and this daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
In this Saturday Big Ten matchup, Iowa has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 18 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put up $1,500 to win $100 back on the Hawkeyes (-1500). The Boilermakers are getting +810 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 49 points. On the surface it appears that there should be some good live betting possibilities in this game.
Sharp bettors are siding with both the Hawkeyes and the under. This opening line was originally placed at -17 while the O/U was initially 51.
The Boilermakers are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-2.
The Hawkeyes have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-4.
The Boilermakers have gone an ugly 2-4 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Hawkeyes are 4-2 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Boilermakers are looking to maintain momentum following a solid 40-14 win over Maryland last weekTheir defense allowed the Terrapins to rush for 185 yards on 26 attempts, including two rush TDs. Javon Leake had a productive day for the Terrapins in that one with 79 rushing yards and a score on seven attempts, along with 33 yards on two catches. On the offensive side, Jack Plummer completed 33-of-41 passes for 420 yards and three touchdowns. King Doerue (69 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win while Brycen Hopkins (10 receptions, 140 yards) and David Bell (nine catches, 138 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.
One week ago, Penn State knocked off this Iowa crew by a score of 17-12. The Hawkeyes defense allowed the Nittany Lions to kill the clock by running for 177 yards on 53 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Noah Cain had a good outing, recording 102 rushing yards and a score on 22 attempts for Penn State. For Iowa, Nate Stanley completed 25-of-43 passes for 286 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Mekhi Sargent (18 rushing yards on nine attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat as Brandon Smith (seven receptions, 86 yards, one TD) and Nico Ragaini (seven catches, 55 yards) led the receiving corps.
Purdue has run the ball on 40.4 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 45.4 percent across possessions in conference play. Iowa has a run percentage of 51.7 percent, and has rushed the ball 45.4 percent of the time when playing Big 10 opponents. The Boilermakers have rushed for 63.5 yards/game (including 77 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Hawkeyes are logging 156.8 rushing yards per game (88.3 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Hawkeyes might have an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has generated 4.1 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Boilermakers have ran for 2.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Boilermakers offensive scheme has logged 324.5 yards per contest through the air overall (278 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing scores so far. The Hawkeyes have put up 256 pass yards per outing (263 in the Big 10) and have nine total pass TDs.
Purdue has allowed opponents to run for an average of 166.5 yards and pass for 278 yards per game. The Iowa defense has given up 160 yards per game to opposing passers and 100.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hawkeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.64 to opposing QBs, while the Boilermakers have given up a 7.11 ANY/A.
Offensively, Plummer has amassed 846 passing yards on the year, and has completed 69-of-111 attempts with six scores through the air and four interceptions. He has a 6.43 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.61 over the last two games.
For the home team, Nate Stanley has managed to complete 101-of-161 passes for 1,251 yards, nine TDs and one INT. Stanley’s ANY/A stands at 7.72 for the season and 3.20 over his last two games.
When these two teams met a year ago, Purdue emerged victorious by a final score of 38-36.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Iowa, ATS Winner: Purdue, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The O/U for Purdue’s previous game was set at 52. The over cashed in the team’s 40-14 victory over Maryland.
- Purdue has averaged 2.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 1.7 over its last two.
- Iowa has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 1.2 over its past two.
- Iowa has lost three fumbles this season while Purdue has lost five.
- Over its last three contests, Purdue is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Iowa’s last matchup was set at 44. The under cashed in that 17-12 defeat to Penn State.
- Over its last three matches, Iowa is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Boilermakers offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hawkeyes have accounted for three such plays.
- The Purdue defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while Iowa has given up three such plays.
- The Purdue offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Iowa has created six such runs.
- The Boilermakers defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Hawkeyes have given up zero such runs.
- The Purdue defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 14 times this season. Iowa has recorded 10 sacks.
