Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

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Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians will square off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast this AL matchup.

Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Las Vegas has Cleveland (+105) as the underdog to Boston (-115). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and gamblers can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Indians +1.5 (-200) and Red Sox -1.5 (+170).

The Red Sox are 29-26 straight up (SU) and 23-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, have gone 27-27 SU this year and are 23-30 ATS. In total, the club has lost 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 30-22-2 so far in 2019. Cleveland has been a decent under bet with a total record of 21-31-1.

Right-hander Shane Bieber is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Bieber is 3-2 with a 3.11 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-1, 7.36 ERA and six strikeouts over 11 innings).

The Red Sox are planning to start righty Ryan Weber (1-0, 1.29 ERA), who’s got 11 strikeouts and one walks as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Weber did not re a start against the Indians in 2018.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.28 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.01 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K-per-9 of 9.02.

Indians hitters have slashed .222/.313/.361 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been sparked by first baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Leonys Martin. Santana is slashing .274/.400/.473 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Martin (.228/.305/.361) has produced six homers, 13 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

Boston’s offense has produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .261/.326/.460 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Rafael Devers and right fielder Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Devers is hitting .329/.389/.512 with seven home runs, 31 RBIs, 39 runs and seven stolen bases, while Betts has put up a line of .288/.400/.471 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 44 runs and six stolen bases.

The Indians have lost 7.7 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 1.6 units and are 19-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 16 that went under.

Indians at Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Boston’s last seven games.
  • Boston has posted 27.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 19 over their last 10.
  • The Indians have a total OPS of .674 this season and an OPS of .678 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .781 overall and .786 against righties.