The Cleveland Indians will make a road trip to Boston to face off against the Red Sox at Fenway Park. This AL matchup is going to be televised across the country on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Vegas is listing Boston (-175) as the favorite over Cleveland (+165). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. The game’s runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Indians +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Indians have gone 26-26 SU this year and are 23-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.0 units ATS. Cleveland’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 28-25 SU and 21-31 ATS. They’ve lost 12.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 29-21-2 so far in 2019. The Indians have been a good under bet with a total record of 19-31-1.
Right-hander Jefry Rodriguez is getting the start for the visiting Indians. Rodriguez (1-4, 4.08 ERA) has recorded 23 strikeouts in 35.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Rick Porcello (3-4, 4.45 ERA), who’s got 47 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a 1.31 WHIP. Porcello made two starts against the Indians in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 6.00 ERA.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.61, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .254/.322/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and outfielder Mookie Betts. Devers is hitting .330/.393/.508 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs, 37 runs and seven steals, while the line for Betts stands at .291/.404/.482 with eight homers, 25 RBIs, 42 runs and six stolen bases.
For the visitors, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.10 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.90, along with a K/9 of 8.93.
Indians hitters have slashed .221/.310/.359 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Cleveland’s offense has been sparked by first baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Leonys Martin. Santana is hitting .285/.405/.492 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Martin (.233/.311/.369) has produced six homers, 13 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Indians have lost 5.6 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 4.1 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Indians vs. Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Indians have an OPS of .669 this season and an OPS of .666 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .775 overall and .779 against righties.
- The Indians have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
- Boston has recorded 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Indians have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.
