Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their fourth straight game when they play host to the Cleveland Indians at Camden Yards. This AL matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-170) as the favorite over Baltimore (+160). The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -120 for the Indians -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Indians are 44-36 SU and are 38-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.6 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 22-58 SU and 32-48 ATS. The team’s lost 21.4 units for moneyline bettors and 22.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.

Orioles games have a 41-35-4 over/under record so far in 2019. Indians games have gone under 44 times, gone over 34 times and pushed on two occasions.

The right-handed Mike Clevinger is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Clevinger is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-0 record with a 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Orioles will put the ball in the left hand of John Means (6-4, 2.67 ERA), who’s got 59 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Means is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 6.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.72, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 6.34 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .273/.337/.455 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Mancini is hitting .298/.356/.548 with 17 home runs, 37 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Villar is hitting .252 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs, 47 runs and 15 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.11 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.78 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.39, along with a K/9 of 9.41.

The Indians offense has slashed .239/.320/.410 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Cleveland’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor, who collectively have belted 30 home runs. Santana is hitting .290/.411/.541 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Lindor is hitting .298/.359/.512 with 12 homers, 27 RBIs, 41 runs and 12 steals.

The Indians have gained 5.1 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 13.1 units and are 21-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under.

Indians at Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Each teams has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings.
  • The Indians have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.
  • The Indians have a total OPS of .730 this season and an OPS of .700 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .695 overall and .715 against southpaws.
  • Cleveland has recorded 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Indians have won five of their last six games SU while the Orioles have lost 13 of their last 14.