Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction 10/28/19

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1), 14.5-point underdogs, will be at Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (1-1) in a Central Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, October 28, 2019.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The Cavaliers beat the Indiana Pacers in their last matchup, 110-99, despite being 5-point underdogs. The Bucks, on the other hand, were defeated by the Miami Heat, 131-126, and failed to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The Cleveland game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 213, while the Milwaukee game went 35 points over the projected point total of 222.

Cleveland dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.237 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6. Indiana was 0.126 and 15.8, respectively, for those same stats. Milwaukee, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (27-35; 77.1 percent). Giannis Antetokounmpo played well for Milwaukee, putting up 29 points, 17 rebounds and nine assists. Meanwhile, Cleveland was led by Tristan Thompson, who finished with 25 points and 13 rebounds.

The Cavaliers have had records of 20-64 straight up (SU) and 43-61-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. A little over half of Cleveland games have finished under the projected point total since last season.

The Bucks have had a respectable 61-23 SU record since last season, but have had a hard time covering the spread (38-48-5 ATS). Over that same period, games featuring Milwaukee have finished over the projected point total 57.1 percent of the time.

Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while Cleveland ranks 30th in defensive efficiency dating back to the 2018-19 season. Moreover, the Cavaliers rank 22nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.186), while the Bucks rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.171).

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Cavaliers rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Bucks rank 27th (12.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (6.0) while Cleveland ranks 29th (2.4).
  • The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (38.4) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (29.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks sixth in assists per game (25.9) while Cleveland ranks 29th (20.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Cleveland ranks 19th (16.8).
  • The Bucks rank fourth in fast break points per game (18.3) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (10.5).
  • The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (52.1) while the Cavaliers rank 22nd (44.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks 19th in steals per game (7.4) while Cleveland ranks 28th (6.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (50.1) while Cleveland ranks 25th (42.8).
  • Cleveland is 7-4 when they allow less than 100 points, while Milwaukee is 23-1.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Cavaliers are 18-34 and the Bucks are 70-21.