Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction 11/22/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Cleveland Cavaliers (4-10) travel to American Airlines Center to square off with the Dallas Mavericks (9-5). The Cavaliers are 10-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 22, 2019.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

The last time the Mavericks played, they easily covered the 14.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors, 142-94. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, were dismantled by the Miami Heat, 124-100, and failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 20.5 points over the projected point total of 215.5, while the Cleveland game finished 11 points over the projected point total of 213.

Dallas dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.697 (above their season average of 0.528) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 24.0). Golden State had marks of 0.433 and 17.6, respectively, for those same stats. Cleveland, meanwhile, forced Miami into a turnover percentage of 20.1 (above their season average of 15.4). Luka Doncic played well for Dallas, accumulating 35 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds on his way to his sixth triple-double this year. Meanwhile, Cleveland received a boost from Kevin Love, who put up 25 points and 13 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Doncic led the Mavericks to a 131-111 win. He registered a triple-double with 29 points, 15 assists and 14 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 242 points, which was well over the projected point total of 219, and Dallas covered as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas was lights out from beyond the arc (20-41; 48.8 percent). Cleveland, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (7.8 vs. 11.5).

Of the Cavaliers’ 14 games, eight have finished under the total. Cleveland holds records of 4-10 straight up (SU) and 6-6-2 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Cleveland, games including the Mavericks have a tendency to go over the projected point total (64.3 percent). Additionally, Dallas owns records of 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.

The prolific offense of Dallas (first in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 113.0) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Cleveland (19th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 108.6). The Mavericks figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank 24th in fast break points per game (11.6) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (10.9).
  • Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Cleveland ranks 28th (7.2).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while the Cavaliers rank 20th (44.1).
  • Cleveland ranks 13th in steals per game (8.0) while Dallas ranks 28th (5.8).
  • Dallas ranks 14th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.3) while Cleveland ranks 25th (50.4).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Cavaliers rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while the Cavaliers rank 15th (32.0).
  • Dallas ranks 26th in points off turnovers per game (15.1) while Cleveland ranks 27th (14.9).
  • Dallas ranks 11th in assists per game (24.7) while Cleveland ranks 28th (19.5).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Cleveland is 2-2 and Dallas is 1-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Mavericks are 9-5 and the Cavaliers are 4-5.
  • Cleveland is 4-3-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 3-5 ATS at home.
  • Of the Cavaliers’ 8 road games, they have 5 unders and 3 overs.
  • The Mavericks have 5 overs and 3 unders in 8 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Cleveland has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (4.0 below their season average).
  • The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 14.6, up from 5.8 for the season.